Stock Analysis

Sendas Distribuidora's (BVMF:ASAI3) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture

Published
BOVESPA:ASAI3

Investors were disappointed with the weak earnings posted by Sendas Distribuidora S.A. (BVMF:ASAI3 ). Despite the soft profit numbers, our analysis has optimistic about the overall quality of the income statement.

Check out our latest analysis for Sendas Distribuidora

BOVESPA:ASAI3 Earnings and Revenue History November 15th 2024

A Closer Look At Sendas Distribuidora's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

For the year to September 2024, Sendas Distribuidora had an accrual ratio of -0.11. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of R$2.4b in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of R$636.0m. Sendas Distribuidora did see its free cash flow drop year on year, which is less than ideal, like a Simpson's episode without Groundskeeper Willie.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Sendas Distribuidora's Profit Performance

Sendas Distribuidora's accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Based on this observation, we consider it likely that Sendas Distribuidora's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! Unfortunately, though, its earnings per share actually fell back over the last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you'd like to know more about Sendas Distribuidora as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Our analysis shows 3 warning signs for Sendas Distribuidora (1 shouldn't be ignored!) and we strongly recommend you look at these before investing.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Sendas Distribuidora's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.