Stock Analysis

Are Robust Financials Driving The Recent Rally In Vivara Participações S.A.'s (BVMF:VIVA3) Stock?

Published
BOVESPA:VIVA3

Most readers would already be aware that Vivara Participações' (BVMF:VIVA3) stock increased significantly by 30% over the past three months. Since the market usually pay for a company’s long-term fundamentals, we decided to study the company’s key performance indicators to see if they could be influencing the market. Specifically, we decided to study Vivara Participações' ROE in this article.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

See our latest analysis for Vivara Participações

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Vivara Participações is:

20% = R$383m ÷ R$1.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every R$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of R$0.20.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Vivara Participações' Earnings Growth And 20% ROE

To begin with, Vivara Participações seems to have a respectable ROE. Even when compared to the industry average of 18% the company's ROE looks quite decent. This certainly adds some context to Vivara Participações' moderate 7.4% net income growth seen over the past five years.

We then compared Vivara Participações' net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 28% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

BOVESPA:VIVA3 Past Earnings Growth January 31st 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Vivara Participações fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Vivara Participações Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Vivara Participações' three-year median payout ratio to shareholders is 22% (implying that it retains 78% of its income), which is on the lower side, so it seems like the management is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business.

Moreover, Vivara Participações is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of four years of paying a dividend. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 21%. Accordingly, forecasts suggest that Vivara Participações' future ROE will be 22% which is again, similar to the current ROE.

Summary

On the whole, we feel that Vivara Participações' performance has been quite good. In particular, it's great to see that the company is investing heavily into its business and along with a high rate of return, that has resulted in a respectable growth in its earnings. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.