Stock Analysis

MAHLE Metal Leve's (BVMF:LEVE3) earnings growth rate lags the 20% CAGR delivered to shareholders

Published
BOVESPA:LEVE3

When we invest, we're generally looking for stocks that outperform the market average. And in our experience, buying the right stocks can give your wealth a significant boost. For example, long term MAHLE Metal Leve S.A. (BVMF:LEVE3) shareholders have enjoyed a 37% share price rise over the last half decade, well in excess of the market return of around 6.5% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 51% in the last year , including dividends .

Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 6.8%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.

View our latest analysis for MAHLE Metal Leve

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

During five years of share price growth, MAHLE Metal Leve achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 19% per year. This EPS growth is higher than the 6% average annual increase in the share price. So it seems the market isn't so enthusiastic about the stock these days. This cautious sentiment is reflected in its (fairly low) P/E ratio of 5.95.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

BOVESPA:LEVE3 Earnings Per Share Growth April 19th 2024

It is of course excellent to see how MAHLE Metal Leve has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for MAHLE Metal Leve the TSR over the last 5 years was 154%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that MAHLE Metal Leve shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 51% over one year. And that does include the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 20% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for MAHLE Metal Leve (2 don't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

But note: MAHLE Metal Leve may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Brazilian exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.