Stock Analysis

Shurgard Self Storage (ENXTBR:SHUR): Evaluating Current Valuation After Extended Share Price Weakness

If you have been following Shurgard Self Storage (ENXTBR:SHUR), you may have noticed the steady declines in the company’s stock price over recent months. While there was no single market-moving event to trigger this recent weakness, the ongoing pullback might have investors wondering if this is simply a blip or signaling something deeper about the company’s underlying value. Looking at the bigger picture, Shurgard Self Storage’s share price has slid about 20% over the past year, extending a trend that has persisted for more than one year. Momentum has faded after what appeared to be a period of growth, and the company is now down over 24% over the past three years, erasing much of the upside that attracted shareholders in earlier periods. Even though revenue grew this year, net income turned negative, which only adds complexity to the outlook. After the shaky year and a string of downward moves, the question now is whether the current prices reflect a genuine buying opportunity or if the market is already factoring in expectations for future challenges and slower growth.
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Most Popular Narrative: 18.8% Undervalued

According to the most widely followed narrative, Shurgard Self Storage shares are trading below what analysts consider to be fair value. This presents a notable discount based on future earnings outlook and sector dynamics.

Ongoing investments in technology and operational efficiencies, such as digital booking platforms, cluster management, store automation, and unit remixing, are yielding tangible gains in NOI margin (up 90bps in H1 2025). This points to the ability to further improve net margins and operational earnings.

Curious why so many market-watchers think this stock deserves a much higher valuation? There is a pivotal set of financial assumptions powering this bullish price target, and the future performance expectations behind it might surprise you. Want to know what is fueling the case for a sharp market re-rate? The full narrative reveals the strategic moves and bold numbers at the heart of this value call.

Result: Fair Value of €40.07 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, rising competition and slower revenue growth in Shurgard's core markets could challenge the optimistic outlook and limit future returns for shareholders.

Find out about the key risks to this Shurgard Self Storage narrative.

Another View: Our DCF Model Steps In

While many focus on price multiples for quick comparisons, our SWS DCF model looks deeper. Interestingly, it also points toward undervaluation, but takes a more granular approach to future cash flows. Could this valuation offer a different shade of insight?

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.
SHUR Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2025
SHUR Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2025
Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Shurgard Self Storage for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.

Build Your Own Shurgard Self Storage Narrative

If you believe there is more to Shurgard Self Storage’s story, or want to explore the numbers on your own terms, you can easily build your own perspective in just a few minutes. Do it your way

A great starting point for your Shurgard Self Storage research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Kshitija Bhandaru

Kshitija Bhandaru

Kshitija (or Keisha) Bhandaru is an Equity Analyst at Simply Wall St and has over 6 years of experience in the finance industry and describes herself as a lifelong learner driven by her intellectual curiosity. She previously worked with Market Realist for 5 years as an Equity Analyst.

About ENXTBR:SHUR

Shurgard Self Storage

Engages in the acquisition, development, and operation of self-storage facilities for business and personal use.

Good value with proven track record.

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