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There's No Escaping Harris Technology Group Limited's (ASX:HT8) Muted Revenues Despite A 33% Share Price Rise
Harris Technology Group Limited (ASX:HT8) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 33% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 20% is also fairly reasonable.
Although its price has surged higher, Harris Technology Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Specialty Retail industry in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 0.8x and even P/S above 3x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
View our latest analysis for Harris Technology Group
What Does Harris Technology Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For example, consider that Harris Technology Group's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Harris Technology Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Harris Technology Group's to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 31%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 60% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 7.1% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this in mind, we understand why Harris Technology Group's P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
What Does Harris Technology Group's P/S Mean For Investors?
Despite Harris Technology Group's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Harris Technology Group revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Harris Technology Group has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Harris Technology Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:HT8
Harris Technology Group
Engages in the technology distribution and online retailing businesses in Australia.
Excellent balance sheet low.