Stock Analysis

HMC Capital And 2 ASX Stocks That May Be Trading Below Their Estimated True Value

ASX:MP1
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In the past year, the Australian market has seen a modest rise of 7.0%, maintaining a steady pace in just the last week. In this context of promising forecasted annual earnings growth of 13%, stocks that appear to be trading below their intrinsic value could present appealing opportunities for investors seeking potential growth.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Australia

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Ansell (ASX:ANN)A$27.17A$51.4647.2%
Count (ASX:CUP)A$0.635A$1.1745.9%
IPH (ASX:IPH)A$6.00A$11.7348.8%
VEEM (ASX:VEE)A$1.84A$3.5448.1%
ReadyTech Holdings (ASX:RDY)A$3.23A$6.1947.8%
hipages Group Holdings (ASX:HPG)A$1.08A$2.0647.6%
Atturra (ASX:ATA)A$0.805A$1.5046.5%
Red 5 (ASX:RED)A$0.38A$0.7449%
Millennium Services Group (ASX:MIL)A$1.145A$2.2448.9%
EVT (ASX:EVT)A$11.37A$21.3946.8%

Click here to see the full list of 45 stocks from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Here's a peek at a few of the choices from the screener.

HMC Capital (ASX:HMC)

Overview: HMC Capital Limited operates in Australia, where it owns and manages real estate-focused funds, with a market capitalization of approximately A$2.96 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue primarily through the ownership and management of real estate-focused funds, totaling approximately A$80.29 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 36.3%

HMC Capital, priced at A$7.84, trades significantly below its estimated fair value of A$12.31, indicating a potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Despite recent equity offerings totaling over A$188 million to fund expansion, shareholder dilution has occurred. HMC's revenue and earnings growth forecasts outpace the market at 20.1% and 16.7% per year respectively, yet its projected return on equity remains modest at 10.6%. This mixed financial outlook suggests careful consideration for investors seeking value based on robust future cash flows.

ASX:HMC Discounted Cash Flow as at Jul 2024
ASX:HMC Discounted Cash Flow as at Jul 2024

Megaport (ASX:MP1)

Overview: Megaport Limited offers elastic interconnection services across Australia, New Zealand, Hong Kong, Singapore, Japan, North America, and Europe with a market capitalization of A$1.74 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue through its operations in North America (A$99.78 million), Asia-Pacific (A$48.84 million), and Europe (A$28.88 million).

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 44.4%

Megaport, currently priced at A$10.91, appears undervalued with its market price significantly below the estimated fair value of A$19.62. The company has recently become profitable and is expected to see earnings grow by 35.55% annually over the next three years, outpacing the Australian market's growth rate of 13.2%. Despite slower revenue growth projections at 16.3% per year compared to some peers, Megaport's strategic expansions and partnerships in cloud connectivity solutions underscore its potential for operational efficiency and market penetration.

ASX:MP1 Discounted Cash Flow as at Jul 2024
ASX:MP1 Discounted Cash Flow as at Jul 2024

Regal Partners (ASX:RPL)

Overview: Regal Partners Limited, operating as a privately owned hedge fund sponsor, has a market capitalization of approximately A$1.20 billion.

Operations: The company generates its revenue primarily through the provision of investment management services, totaling A$105.28 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 34.1%

Regal Partners, priced at A$3.75, trades significantly below its estimated fair value of A$5.69, suggesting undervaluation based on discounted cash flow analysis. Despite a low return on equity forecast and a profit margin decline from 14.1% to 1.5%, revenue has increased by 19.2% over the past year with expected growth of 25.5% annually outstripping the market's 5.2%. However, dividends are poorly covered by earnings and free cash flows, raising concerns about sustainability amidst aggressive acquisition strategies and auditor changes.

ASX:RPL Discounted Cash Flow as at Jul 2024
ASX:RPL Discounted Cash Flow as at Jul 2024

Turning Ideas Into Actions

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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