Why We're Not Concerned About SEEK Limited's (ASX:SEK) Share Price
When close to half the companies in the Interactive Media and Services industry in Australia have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.3x, you may consider SEEK Limited (ASX:SEK) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 7.5x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
See our latest analysis for SEEK
How SEEK Has Been Performing
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, SEEK's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on SEEK will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, SEEK would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 2.5%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 12% overall rise in revenue. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 10% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 7.2% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.
In light of this, it's understandable that SEEK's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What We Can Learn From SEEK's P/S?
While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of SEEK's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for SEEK that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on SEEK, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:SEK
SEEK
Engages in the provision of online employment marketplace services in Australia, South East Asia, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, Europe, and internationally.
Reasonable growth potential with adequate balance sheet.
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