Stock Analysis
We Think IVE Group's (ASX:IGL) Solid Earnings Are Understated
Shareholders appeared to be happy with IVE Group Limited's (ASX:IGL) solid earnings report last week. This reaction by the market reaction is understandable when looking at headline profits and we have found some further encouraging factors.
View our latest analysis for IVE Group
Examining Cashflow Against IVE Group's Earnings
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
IVE Group has an accrual ratio of -0.19 for the year to June 2024. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of AU$87m, well over the AU$27.6m it reported in profit. IVE Group shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On IVE Group's Profit Performance
Happily for shareholders, IVE Group produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Because of this, we think IVE Group's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! And the EPS is up 8.8% annually, over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you'd like to know more about IVE Group as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. You'd be interested to know, that we found 2 warning signs for IVE Group and you'll want to know about them.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of IVE Group's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:IGL
IVE Group
Engages in the marketing business in Australia.