Stock Analysis

Titan Minerals (ASX:TTM) Is Carrying A Fair Bit Of Debt

ASX:TTM
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Titan Minerals Limited (ASX:TTM) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Titan Minerals

How Much Debt Does Titan Minerals Carry?

As you can see below, Titan Minerals had US$2.22m of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had US$1.03m in cash, and so its net debt is US$1.19m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:TTM Debt to Equity History September 26th 2024

How Healthy Is Titan Minerals' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Titan Minerals had liabilities of US$3.30m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$1.72m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$1.03m and US$3.15m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$846.0k more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This state of affairs indicates that Titan Minerals' balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the US$52.1m company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Titan Minerals's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Given its lack of meaningful operating revenue, investors are probably hoping that Titan Minerals finds some valuable resources, before it runs out of money.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Titan Minerals produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost US$3.3m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled US$8.0m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Titan Minerals has 5 warning signs (and 2 which make us uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Titan Minerals might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.