The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Amani Gold Limited (ASX:ANL) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Amani Gold
How Much Debt Does Amani Gold Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Amani Gold had debt of AU$2.10m at the end of June 2021, a reduction from AU$3.09m over a year. However, it does have AU$874.6k in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about AU$1.23m.
How Healthy Is Amani Gold's Balance Sheet?
According to the balance sheet data, Amani Gold had liabilities of AU$3.00m due within 12 months, but no longer term liabilities. Offsetting this, it had AU$874.6k in cash and AU$62.4k in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total AU$2.07m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Since publicly traded Amani Gold shares are worth a total of AU$56.8m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Amani Gold will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Since Amani Gold has no significant operating revenue, shareholders probably hope it will develop a valuable new mine before too long.
Caveat Emptor
While Amani Gold's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost AU$3.4m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through AU$4.6m of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 7 warning signs for Amani Gold (of which 4 are potentially serious!) you should know about.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About ASX:ANL
Amani Gold
Amani Gold Limited engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral projects in the Democratic Republic of Congo.
Excellent balance sheet medium.