Stock Analysis

Discover 3 ASX Stocks Including Genesis Minerals Estimated To Be Trading Below Fair Value

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The Australian stock market recently experienced a slight downturn, with the ASX 200 closing down by 0.57% amid mixed performances across various sectors. In this fluctuating environment, identifying stocks that are potentially undervalued can be key to making informed investment decisions; such opportunities may exist in companies like Genesis Minerals and others that are estimated to be trading below their fair value.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Australia

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Accent Group (ASX:AX1)A$2.53A$5.0049.4%
Telix Pharmaceuticals (ASX:TLX)A$22.96A$44.1948%
Atlas Arteria (ASX:ALX)A$4.81A$9.3648.6%
MLG Oz (ASX:MLG)A$0.59A$1.1347.9%
Ingenia Communities Group (ASX:INA)A$4.99A$9.3446.6%
Millennium Services Group (ASX:MIL)A$1.145A$2.2448.9%
Genesis Minerals (ASX:GMD)A$2.47A$4.7447.9%
Vault Minerals (ASX:VAU)A$0.34A$0.6447.1%
Audinate Group (ASX:AD8)A$9.02A$17.5648.6%
Credit Clear (ASX:CCR)A$0.355A$0.7150%

Click here to see the full list of 42 stocks from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Let's explore several standout options from the results in the screener.

Genesis Minerals (ASX:GMD)

Overview: Genesis Minerals Limited is involved in the exploration, production, and development of gold deposits in Western Australia with a market cap of A$2.73 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue of A$438.59 million from its activities in mineral production, exploration, and development.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 47.9%

Genesis Minerals has shown a remarkable turnaround, reporting A$84 million in net income for the year ending June 2024 after a previous net loss. The stock is currently trading at A$2.47, significantly below its estimated fair value of A$4.74, indicating potential undervaluation based on cash flows. With earnings expected to grow 22.7% annually over the next three years and revenue forecasted to increase by 18% per year, Genesis presents an intriguing opportunity despite past shareholder dilution concerns.

ASX:GMD Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2024

Medibank Private (ASX:MPL)

Overview: Medibank Private Limited operates as a provider of private health insurance and health services in Australia, with a market capitalization of approximately A$10.47 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue is primarily derived from Health Insurance, generating A$7.90 billion, and Medibank Health services, contributing A$360.10 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 41.3%

Medibank Private is trading at A$3.73, significantly below its estimated fair value of A$6.36, highlighting potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Despite a modest net income of A$3.9 million for the year ending June 2024 and slower revenue growth forecasted at 4.7% annually, earnings are expected to grow significantly at 27.1% per year, outpacing the Australian market's average growth rate of 12.5%. However, dividend sustainability remains a concern with insufficient earnings coverage.

ASX:MPL Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2024

Vault Minerals (ASX:VAU)

Overview: Vault Minerals Limited is involved in the exploration, production, and mining of gold and gold/copper concentrates in Canada and Australia, with a market cap of A$2.31 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue segments include Deflector generating A$22.42 million, Mount Monger contributing A$15.96 million, and King of The Hills producing A$581.62 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 47.1%

Vault Minerals, trading at A$0.34, is significantly undervalued compared to its estimated fair value of A$0.64, suggesting potential based on cash flows. Despite a net loss of A$5.44 million for the year ending June 2024, earnings are forecast to grow 26.13% annually and surpass market averages as profitability is expected within three years. However, recent shareholder dilution may impact investor sentiment despite revenue growth outpacing the broader Australian market at 12.9% per year.

ASX:VAU Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2024

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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