Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Sonic Healthcare Limited (ASX:SHL) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Sonic Healthcare
How Much Debt Does Sonic Healthcare Carry?
As you can see below, Sonic Healthcare had AU$2.49b of debt at December 2020, down from AU$2.79b a year prior. However, it does have AU$856.8m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about AU$1.63b.
How Healthy Is Sonic Healthcare's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Sonic Healthcare had liabilities of AU$2.16b due within a year, and liabilities of AU$3.58b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had AU$856.8m in cash and AU$1.21b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling AU$3.67b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Sonic Healthcare has a huge market capitalization of AU$17.1b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Sonic Healthcare's net debt is only 0.98 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 13.0 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. On top of that, Sonic Healthcare grew its EBIT by 72% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Sonic Healthcare's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Sonic Healthcare recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 80% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
Our View
Sonic Healthcare's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! We would also note that Healthcare industry companies like Sonic Healthcare commonly do use debt without problems. Overall, we don't think Sonic Healthcare is taking any bad risks, as its debt load seems modest. So the balance sheet looks pretty healthy, to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Sonic Healthcare (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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About ASX:SHL
Sonic Healthcare
Offers medical diagnostic and administrative services to medical practitioners, hospitals, community health services, and patients in Australia, the United States, Germany, and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.