If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. That's why when we briefly looked at Viva Energy Group's (ASX:VEA) ROCE trend, we were pretty happy with what we saw.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Viva Energy Group:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.12 = AU$571m ÷ (AU$7.2b - AU$2.4b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2021).
So, Viva Energy Group has an ROCE of 12%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Oil and Gas industry average of 3.0% it's much better.
Check out our latest analysis for Viva Energy Group
In the above chart we have measured Viva Energy Group's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Viva Energy Group here for free.
What Does the ROCE Trend For Viva Energy Group Tell Us?
While the current returns on capital are decent, they haven't changed much. Over the past five years, ROCE has remained relatively flat at around 12% and the business has deployed 107% more capital into its operations. 12% is a pretty standard return, and it provides some comfort knowing that Viva Energy Group has consistently earned this amount. Stable returns in this ballpark can be unexciting, but if they can be maintained over the long run, they often provide nice rewards to shareholders.
On a side note, Viva Energy Group has done well to reduce current liabilities to 33% of total assets over the last five years. Effectively suppliers now fund less of the business, which can lower some elements of risk.
The Bottom Line On Viva Energy Group's ROCE
To sum it up, Viva Energy Group has simply been reinvesting capital steadily, at those decent rates of return. However, over the last three years, the stock has only delivered a 4.6% return to shareholders who held over that period. So to determine if Viva Energy Group is a multi-bagger going forward, we'd suggest digging deeper into the company's other fundamentals.
One more thing, we've spotted 3 warning signs facing Viva Energy Group that you might find interesting.
While Viva Energy Group may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About ASX:VEA
Viva Energy Group
Operates as an energy company in Australia, Singapore, and Papua New Guinea.
Moderate with reasonable growth potential.