Stock Analysis

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Tabcorp Holdings Limited's (ASX:TAH) Low P/S

ASX:TAH
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When close to half the companies operating in the Hospitality industry in Australia have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.2x, you may consider Tabcorp Holdings Limited (ASX:TAH) as an attractive investment with its 0.6x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Tabcorp Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:TAH Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 14th 2024

How Has Tabcorp Holdings Performed Recently?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Tabcorp Holdings' revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Tabcorp Holdings.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Tabcorp Holdings would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 4.8%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 54% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 3.2% per year as estimated by the twelve analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 6.9% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Tabcorp Holdings' P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Tabcorp Holdings' P/S?

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Tabcorp Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Tabcorp Holdings that you need to be mindful of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Tabcorp Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Tabcorp Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.