Stock Analysis

PointsBet Holdings Limited's (ASX:PBH) Shares Leap 29% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

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ASX:PBH

Despite an already strong run, PointsBet Holdings Limited (ASX:PBH) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29% in the last thirty days. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 9.6% isn't as attractive.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about PointsBet Holdings' P/S ratio of 1.2x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Hospitality industry in Australia is also close to 1.3x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for PointsBet Holdings

ASX:PBH Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 1st 2024

How Has PointsBet Holdings Performed Recently?

PointsBet Holdings certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

Keen to find out how analysts think PointsBet Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For PointsBet Holdings?

PointsBet Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 17%. As a result, it also grew revenue by 26% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 13% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 6.4% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we find it interesting that PointsBet Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What We Can Learn From PointsBet Holdings' P/S?

PointsBet Holdings' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, PointsBet Holdings' P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. This uncertainty seems to be reflected in the share price which, while stable, could be higher given the revenue forecasts.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for PointsBet Holdings that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of PointsBet Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.