Will Weakness in Jumbo Interactive Limited's (ASX:JIN) Stock Prove Temporary Given Strong Fundamentals?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
May 09, 2022
ASX:JIN
Source: Shutterstock

With its stock down 17% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Jumbo Interactive (ASX:JIN). But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. In this article, we decided to focus on Jumbo Interactive's ROE.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

See our latest analysis for Jumbo Interactive

How Is ROE Calculated?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Jumbo Interactive is:

33% = AU$30m ÷ AU$91m (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2021).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every A$1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated A$0.33 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Jumbo Interactive's Earnings Growth And 33% ROE

To begin with, Jumbo Interactive has a pretty high ROE which is interesting. Secondly, even when compared to the industry average of 11% the company's ROE is quite impressive. So, the substantial 23% net income growth seen by Jumbo Interactive over the past five years isn't overly surprising.

We then compared Jumbo Interactive's net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 6.9% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
ASX:JIN Past Earnings Growth May 9th 2022

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. What is JIN worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether JIN is currently mispriced by the market.

Is Jumbo Interactive Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Jumbo Interactive has a significant three-year median payout ratio of 86%, meaning the company only retains 14% of its income. This implies that the company has been able to achieve high earnings growth despite returning most of its profits to shareholders.

Besides, Jumbo Interactive has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 79% of its profits over the next three years. Still, forecasts suggest that Jumbo Interactive's future ROE will rise to 42% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

Summary

On the whole, we feel that Jumbo Interactive's performance has been quite good. In particular, its high ROE is quite noteworthy and also the probable explanation behind its considerable earnings growth. Yet, the company is retaining a small portion of its profits. Which means that the company has been able to grow its earnings in spite of it, so that's not too bad. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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