Stock Analysis

Jumbo Interactive (ASX:JIN) jumps 8.1% this week, though earnings growth is still tracking behind one-year shareholder returns

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ASX:JIN

Passive investing in index funds can generate returns that roughly match the overall market. But one can do better than that by picking better than average stocks (as part of a diversified portfolio). To wit, the Jumbo Interactive Limited (ASX:JIN) share price is 22% higher than it was a year ago, much better than the market return of around 6.7% (not including dividends) in the same period. So that should have shareholders smiling. Zooming out, the stock is actually down 4.7% in the last three years.

Since it's been a strong week for Jumbo Interactive shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.

View our latest analysis for Jumbo Interactive

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Jumbo Interactive was able to grow EPS by 7.9% in the last twelve months. This EPS growth is significantly lower than the 22% increase in the share price. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it a year ago.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

ASX:JIN Earnings Per Share Growth June 20th 2024

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Jumbo Interactive's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Jumbo Interactive the TSR over the last 1 year was 25%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Jumbo Interactive shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 25% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 0.2%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. Most investors take the time to check the data on insider transactions. You can click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling.

Of course Jumbo Interactive may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Australian exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.