Stock Analysis
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that EDU Holdings Limited (ASX:EDU) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for EDU Holdings
What Is EDU Holdings's Debt?
As you can see below, EDU Holdings had AU$2.25m of debt, at June 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds AU$6.28m in cash, so it actually has AU$4.03m net cash.
How Healthy Is EDU Holdings' Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that EDU Holdings had liabilities of AU$12.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of AU$16.7m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of AU$6.28m as well as receivables valued at AU$2.12m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total AU$20.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of AU$25.6m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on EDU Holdings' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, EDU Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if EDU Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Over 12 months, EDU Holdings saw its revenue hold pretty steady, and it did not report positive earnings before interest and tax. While that's not too bad, we'd prefer see growth.
So How Risky Is EDU Holdings?
We have no doubt that loss making companies are, in general, riskier than profitable ones. And we do note that EDU Holdings had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, over the last year. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of AU$653k and booked a AU$4.1m accounting loss. Given it only has net cash of AU$4.03m, the company may need to raise more capital if it doesn't reach break-even soon. Summing up, we're a little skeptical of this one, as it seems fairly risky in the absence of free cashflow. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for EDU Holdings (of which 1 is a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:EDU
EDU Holdings
Through its subsidiaries, provides tertiary education services in Australia.