Stock Analysis

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Atlas Pearls Limited's (ASX:ATP) 48% Share Price Surge

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ASX:ATP

Atlas Pearls Limited (ASX:ATP) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 48% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The last month tops off a massive increase of 129% in the last year.

Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies operating in Australia's Luxury industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.8x, you may consider Atlas Pearls as a stock to potentially avoid with its 1.4x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Atlas Pearls

ASX:ATP Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 5th 2024

What Does Atlas Pearls' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Atlas Pearls has been doing very well. The P/S ratio is probably high because investors think this strong revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Atlas Pearls will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Atlas Pearls' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 53%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 128% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is only predicted to deliver 7.8% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we can see why Atlas Pearls is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the wider industry.

The Key Takeaway

The large bounce in Atlas Pearls' shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Atlas Pearls maintains its high P/S on the strength of its recent three-year growth being higher than the wider industry forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident revenue aren't under threat. Barring any significant changes to the company's ability to make money, the share price should continue to be propped up.

Having said that, be aware Atlas Pearls is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.