Stock Analysis

ALS Limited's (ASX:ALQ) Stock Been Rising: Are Strong Financials Guiding The Market?

ASX:ALQ
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ALS' (ASX:ALQ) stock is up by 8.1% over the past three months. Given its impressive performance, we decided to study the company's key financial indicators as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. Particularly, we will be paying attention to ALS' ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

See our latest analysis for ALS

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for ALS is:

19% = AU$265m ÷ AU$1.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every A$1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated A$0.19 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of ALS' Earnings Growth And 19% ROE

To begin with, ALS seems to have a respectable ROE. Further, the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 19%. This probably goes some way in explaining ALS' moderate 17% growth over the past five years amongst other factors.

As a next step, we compared ALS' net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 4.3%.

past-earnings-growth
ASX:ALQ Past Earnings Growth April 10th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if ALS is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is ALS Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

The high three-year median payout ratio of 75% (or a retention ratio of 25%) for ALS suggests that the company's growth wasn't really hampered despite it returning most of its income to its shareholders.

Moreover, ALS is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 62%. However, ALS' ROE is predicted to rise to 24% despite there being no anticipated change in its payout ratio.

Conclusion

On the whole, we feel that ALS' performance has been quite good. In particular, its high ROE is quite noteworthy and also the probable explanation behind its considerable earnings growth. Yet, the company is retaining a small portion of its profits. Which means that the company has been able to grow its earnings in spite of it, so that's not too bad. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.