Stock Analysis

Do Its Financials Have Any Role To Play In Driving Telekom Austria AG's (VIE:TKA) Stock Up Recently?

WBAG:TKA
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Telekom Austria's (VIE:TKA) stock is up by a considerable 6.4% over the past month. As most would know, fundamentals are what usually guide market price movements over the long-term, so we decided to look at the company's key financial indicators today to determine if they have any role to play in the recent price movement. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Telekom Austria's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

Check out our latest analysis for Telekom Austria

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Telekom Austria is:

13% = €381m ÷ €2.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each €1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made €0.13 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Telekom Austria's Earnings Growth And 13% ROE

To begin with, Telekom Austria seems to have a respectable ROE. And on comparing with the industry, we found that the the average industry ROE is similar at 11%. However, we are curious as to how Telekom Austria's decent returns still resulted in flat growth for Telekom Austria in the past five years. So, there could be some other aspects that could potentially be preventing the company from growing. These include low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

As a next step, we compared Telekom Austria's net income growth with the industry and discovered that the industry saw an average growth of 6.3% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
WBAG:TKA Past Earnings Growth December 1st 2020

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Telekom Austria fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Telekom Austria Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Despite having a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 46% (meaning the company retains54% of profits) in the last three-year period, Telekom Austria's earnings growth was more or les flat. Therefore, there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

Moreover, Telekom Austria has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 49% of its profits over the next three years. Accordingly, forecasts suggest that Telekom Austria's future ROE will be 14% which is again, similar to the current ROE.

Summary

In total, it does look like Telekom Austria has some positive aspects to its business. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a high ROE and and a high reinvestment rate. We believe that there might be some outside factors that could be having a negative impact on the business. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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