Stock Analysis

Is Andritz (VIE:ANDR) A Risky Investment?

WBAG:ANDR
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Andritz AG (VIE:ANDR) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Andritz

What Is Andritz's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Andritz had debt of €1.07b at the end of June 2022, a reduction from €1.29b over a year. However, it does have €1.94b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of €876.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
WBAG:ANDR Debt to Equity History August 18th 2022

How Healthy Is Andritz's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Andritz had liabilities of €4.67b due within a year, and liabilities of €1.85b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had €1.94b in cash and €2.35b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €2.22b.

Andritz has a market capitalization of €4.89b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Andritz boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

Also good is that Andritz grew its EBIT at 16% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Andritz's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Andritz has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Happily for any shareholders, Andritz actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Summing Up

Although Andritz's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of €876.3m. And it impressed us with free cash flow of €654m, being 191% of its EBIT. So is Andritz's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Andritz .

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About WBAG:ANDR

Andritz

Provides plants, equipment, and services for pulp and paper industry, metalworking and steel industries, hydropower stations, and solid/liquid separation in the municipal and industrial sectors in Europe, North America, South America, China, Asia, and internationally.

Very undervalued with flawless balance sheet and pays a dividend.