Stock Analysis

Al Yah Satellite Communication Company PJSC's (ADX:YAHSAT) Dismal Stock Performance Reflects Weak Fundamentals

ADX:YAHSAT
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It is hard to get excited after looking at Al Yah Satellite Communication Company PJSC's (ADX:YAHSAT) recent performance, when its stock has declined 3.8% over the past week. To decide if this trend could continue, we decided to look at its weak fundamentals as they shape the long-term market trends. In this article, we decided to focus on Al Yah Satellite Communication Company PJSC's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

View our latest analysis for Al Yah Satellite Communication Company PJSC

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Al Yah Satellite Communication Company PJSC is:

7.2% = US$68m ÷ US$942m (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each AED1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made AED0.07 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Al Yah Satellite Communication Company PJSC's Earnings Growth And 7.2% ROE

As you can see, Al Yah Satellite Communication Company PJSC's ROE looks pretty weak. Even when compared to the industry average of 11%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. Al Yah Satellite Communication Company PJSC was still able to see a decent net income growth of 7.7% over the past five years. We reckon that there could be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

We then compared Al Yah Satellite Communication Company PJSC's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 13% in the same period, which is a bit concerning.

past-earnings-growth
ADX:YAHSAT Past Earnings Growth May 16th 2023

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Has the market priced in the future outlook for YAHSAT? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

Is Al Yah Satellite Communication Company PJSC Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

The really high three-year median payout ratio of 12,747% for Al Yah Satellite Communication Company PJSC suggests that the company is paying its shareholders more than what it is earning. In spite of this, the company was able to grow its earnings respectably, as we saw above. It would still be worth keeping an eye on that high payout ratio, if for some reason the company runs into problems and business deteriorates.

Along with seeing a growth in earnings, Al Yah Satellite Communication Company PJSC only recently started paying dividends. Its quite possible that the company was looking to impress its shareholders. Existing analyst estimates suggest that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 269% over the next three years. The fact that the company's ROE is expected to rise to 13% over the same period is explained by the drop in the payout ratio.

Summary

On the whole, Al Yah Satellite Communication Company PJSC's performance is quite a big let-down. Although the company has shown a fair bit of growth in earnings, yet the low ROE and the low rate of reinvestment makes us skeptical about the continuity of that growth, especially when or if the business comes to face any threats. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Al Yah Satellite Communication Company PJSC is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.