Stock Analysis

Is Aldar Properties PJSC (ADX:ALDAR) A Risky Dividend Stock?

ADX:ALDAR
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Is Aldar Properties PJSC (ADX:ALDAR) a good dividend stock? How can we tell? Dividend paying companies with growing earnings can be highly rewarding in the long term. Yet sometimes, investors buy a popular dividend stock because of its yield, and then lose money if the company's dividend doesn't live up to expectations.

In this case, Aldar Properties PJSC likely looks attractive to dividend investors, given its 4.5% dividend yield and nine-year payment history. It sure looks interesting on these metrics - but there's always more to the story. That said, the recent jump in the share price will make Aldar Properties PJSC's dividend yield look smaller, even though the company prospects could be improving. There are a few simple ways to reduce the risks of buying Aldar Properties PJSC for its dividend, and we'll go through these below.

Explore this interactive chart for our latest analysis on Aldar Properties PJSC!

historic-dividend
ADX:ALDAR Historic Dividend January 11th 2021

Payout ratios

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Comparing dividend payments to a company's net profit after tax is a simple way of reality-checking whether a dividend is sustainable. In the last year, Aldar Properties PJSC paid out 64% of its profit as dividends. A payout ratio above 50% generally implies a business is reaching maturity, although it is still possible to reinvest in the business or increase the dividend over time.

Another important check we do is to see if the free cash flow generated is sufficient to pay the dividend. With a cash payout ratio of 127%, Aldar Properties PJSC's dividend payments are poorly covered by cash flow. While Aldar Properties PJSC's dividends were covered by the company's reported profits, free cash flow is somewhat more important, so it's not great to see that the company didn't generate enough cash to pay its dividend. Cash is king, as they say, and were Aldar Properties PJSC to repeatedly pay dividends that aren't well covered by cashflow, we would consider this a warning sign.

We update our data on Aldar Properties PJSC every 24 hours, so you can always get our latest analysis of its financial health, here.

Dividend Volatility

From the perspective of an income investor who wants to earn dividends for many years, there is not much point buying a stock if its dividend is regularly cut or is not reliable. The first recorded dividend for Aldar Properties PJSC, in the last decade, was nine years ago. Its dividend has not fluctuated much that time, which we like, but we're conscious that the company might not yet have a track record of maintaining dividends in all economic conditions. During the past nine-year period, the first annual payment was د.إ0.05 in 2012, compared to د.إ0.1 last year. Dividends per share have grown at approximately 13% per year over this time.

The dividend has been growing pretty quickly, which could be enough to get us interested even though the dividend history is relatively short. Further research may be warranted.

Dividend Growth Potential

Dividend payments have been consistent over the past few years, but we should always check if earnings per share (EPS) are growing, as this will help maintain the purchasing power of the dividend. Over the past five years, it looks as though Aldar Properties PJSC's EPS have declined at around 6.4% a year. If earnings continue to decline, the dividend may come under pressure. Every investor should make an assessment of whether the company is taking steps to stabilise the situation.

Conclusion

To summarise, shareholders should always check that Aldar Properties PJSC's dividends are affordable, that its dividend payments are relatively stable, and that it has decent prospects for growing its earnings and dividend. Aldar Properties PJSC gets a pass on its dividend payout ratio, but it paid out virtually all of its cash flow as dividends. This may just be a one-off, but we'd keep an eye on this. Earnings per share are down, and to our mind Aldar Properties PJSC has not been paying a dividend long enough to demonstrate its resilience across economic cycles. Using these criteria, Aldar Properties PJSC looks quite suboptimal from a dividend investment perspective.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For instance, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Aldar Properties PJSC that investors should take into consideration.

Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our curated list of dividend stocks with a yield above 3%.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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