Stock Analysis

ARAM Group Company P.J.S.C.'s (ADX:ARAM) Stock is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

ADX:ARAM
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Most readers would already be aware that ARAM Group Company P.J.S.C's (ADX:ARAM) stock increased significantly by 20% over the past three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Particularly, we will be paying attention to ARAM Group Company P.J.S.C's ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

View our latest analysis for ARAM Group Company P.J.S.C

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for ARAM Group Company P.J.S.C is:

7.5% = د.إ9.0m ÷ د.إ120m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every AED1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn AED0.08 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

ARAM Group Company P.J.S.C's Earnings Growth And 7.5% ROE

As you can see, ARAM Group Company P.J.S.C's ROE looks pretty weak. A comparison with the industry shows that the company's ROE is pretty similar to the average industry ROE of 6.7%. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 4.7% seen by ARAM Group Company P.J.S.C was possibly a result of the disappointing ROE.

That being said, we compared ARAM Group Company P.J.S.C's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 8.0% in the same 5-year period.

past-earnings-growth
ADX:ARAM Past Earnings Growth January 16th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is ARAM Group Company P.J.S.C fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is ARAM Group Company P.J.S.C Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Because ARAM Group Company P.J.S.C doesn't pay any dividends, we infer that it is retaining all of its profits, which is rather perplexing when you consider the fact that there is no earnings growth to show for it. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

Summary

Overall, we have mixed feelings about ARAM Group Company P.J.S.C. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 5 risks we have identified for ARAM Group Company P.J.S.C.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether ARAM Group Company P.J.S.C is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.