Analysts Are Updating Their Agthia Group PJSC (ADX:AGTHIA) Estimates After Its Third-Quarter Results

Agthia Group PJSC (ADX:AGTHIA) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 5.9% to د.إ3.64 in the week after its latest quarterly results. Results were roughly in line with estimates, with revenues of د.إ1.1b and statutory earnings per share of د.إ0.36. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

Trump has pledged to "unleash" American oil and gas and these 15 US stocks have developments that are poised to benefit.

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Agthia Group PJSC's six analysts is for revenues of د.إ5.43b in 2026. This would reflect a notable 12% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to shoot up 256% to د.إ0.44. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of د.إ5.45b and earnings per share (EPS) of د.إ0.45 in 2026. The analysts seem to have become a little more negative on the business after the latest results, given the small dip in their earnings per share numbers for next year.

See our latest analysis for Agthia Group PJSC

The consensus price target held steady at د.إ5.72, with the analysts seemingly voting that their lower forecast earnings are not expected to lead to a lower stock price in the foreseeable future. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. The most optimistic Agthia Group PJSC analyst has a price target of د.إ6.70 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at د.إ4.50. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Agthia Group PJSC shareholders.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Agthia Group PJSC's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2026 expected to display 9.2% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 17% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 7.0% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while Agthia Group PJSC's revenue growth is expected to slow, it's still expected to grow faster than the industry itself.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at د.إ5.72, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have estimates - from multiple Agthia Group PJSC analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Before you take the next step you should know about the 3 warning signs for Agthia Group PJSC (2 make us uncomfortable!) that we have uncovered.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.