NMDC Group PJSC

ADX:NMDC Stock Report

Market Cap: د.إ17.6b

NMDC Group PJSC Valuation

Is NMDC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NMDC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

د.إ20.48
Fair Value
1.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: NMDC (AED20.8) is trading above our estimate of fair value (AED20.48)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NMDC is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NMDC?

Key metric: As NMDC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NMDC. This is calculated by dividing NMDC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NMDC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.3x
Earningsد.إ3.34b
Market Capد.إ17.56b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NMDC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NMDC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.5x
ALEC ALEC Holdings PJSC
12.1x17.10%د.إ7.2b
ORAS Orascom Construction
7x2.16%د.إ4.2b
2POINTZERO Two Point Zero Group P.J.S.C
5.6xn/aد.إ29.9b
DIC Dubai Investments PJSC
9.3x-3.40%د.إ14.6b
NMDC NMDC Group PJSC
5.3x-10.54%د.إ17.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NMDC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x) compared to the peer average (8.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NMDC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Construction Industry?

26 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NMDC 5.3xIndustry Avg. 14.7xNo. of Companies123PE01224364860+
26 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NMDC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x) compared to the Asian Construction industry average (14.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NMDC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NMDC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.3x
Fair PE Ratio7.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NMDC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

د.إ29.55
Fair Value
29.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/12/05 18:16
End of Day Share Price 2025/12/05 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

NMDC Group PJSC is covered by 3 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Mohamad HaidarArqaam Capital Research Offshore S.A.L.
Ahmed MaherEFG-Hermes Research
Yousef El HusseiniEFG-Hermes Research