Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Nilkamal (NSE:NILKAMAL) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

NSEI:NILKAMAL
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Nilkamal Limited (NSE:NILKAMAL) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Nilkamal

What Is Nilkamal's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2020 Nilkamal had debt of ₹664.8m, up from ₹588.6m in one year. On the flip side, it has ₹400.4m in cash leading to net debt of about ₹264.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:NILKAMAL Debt to Equity History August 26th 2020

A Look At Nilkamal's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Nilkamal had liabilities of ₹2.66b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹2.52b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹400.4m as well as receivables valued at ₹3.60b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹1.2b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded Nilkamal shares are worth a total of ₹20.7b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. But either way, Nilkamal has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

With net debt sitting at just 0.11 times EBITDA, Nilkamal is arguably pretty conservatively geared. And it boasts interest cover of 8.9 times, which is more than adequate. And we also note warmly that Nilkamal grew its EBIT by 15% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Nilkamal's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Nilkamal recorded free cash flow of 43% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Nilkamal's net debt to EBITDA suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its interest cover is also very heartening. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Nilkamal is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Nilkamal that you should be aware of before investing here.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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