Stock Analysis

TomTom N.V. (AMS:TOM2) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 25%

ENXTAM:TOM2
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TomTom N.V. (AMS:TOM2) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 25% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 29% share price drop.

Following the heavy fall in price, TomTom may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.2x, considering almost half of all companies in the Software industry in the Netherlands have P/S ratios greater than 2.2x and even P/S higher than 5x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

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ps-multiple-vs-industry
ENXTAM:TOM2 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 23rd 2024

What Does TomTom's Recent Performance Look Like?

There hasn't been much to differentiate TomTom's and the industry's revenue growth lately. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this modest revenue performance may begin to slide. Those who are bullish on TomTom will be hoping that this isn't the case.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on TomTom will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like TomTom's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 6.3%. The latest three year period has also seen a 10% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 2.2% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 9.5% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why TomTom's P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What Does TomTom's P/S Mean For Investors?

TomTom's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Software companies. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of TomTom's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for TomTom that you need to be mindful of.

If you're unsure about the strength of TomTom's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether TomTom is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.