Stock Analysis

Earnings Tell The Story For CEAT Limited (NSE:CEATLTD)

NSEI:CEATLTD
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 31.1x CEAT Limited (NSE:CEATLTD) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios under 15x and even P/E's lower than 7x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, CEAT has been very sluggish. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for CEAT

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NSEI:CEATLTD Price Based on Past Earnings August 21st 2020
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What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as CEAT's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 57%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 56% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the ten analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 39% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 19% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that CEAT's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Bottom Line On CEAT's P/E

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that CEAT maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with CEAT (at least 1 which is potentially serious), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly and trade on P/E's below 20x.

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