Stock Analysis

We Think That There Are Some Issues For Jabil (NYSE:JBL) Beyond Its Promising Earnings

NYSE:JBL
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The recent earnings posted by Jabil Inc. (NYSE:JBL) were solid, but the stock didn't move as much as we expected. We think this is due to investors looking beyond the statutory profits and being concerned with what they see.

See our latest analysis for Jabil

earnings-and-revenue-history
NYSE:JBL Earnings and Revenue History April 18th 2024

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Importantly, our data indicates that Jabil's profit received a boost of US$674m in unusual items, over the last year. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Jabil had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to February 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Jabil's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, we think the significant positive unusual item makes Jabil's earnings a poor guide to its underlying profitability. For this reason, we think that Jabil's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you'd like to know more about Jabil as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. When we did our research, we found 3 warning signs for Jabil (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Jabil's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Jabil is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.