Stock Analysis

Potential Upside For Adecco Group AG (VTX:ADEN) Not Without Risk

SWX:ADEN
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16.3x Adecco Group AG (VTX:ADEN) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Switzerland have P/E ratios greater than 21x and even P/E's higher than 34x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

Adecco Group hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Adecco Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SWX:ADEN Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 18th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Adecco Group.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Adecco Group's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 5.3%. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with EPS growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 26% each year during the coming three years according to the twelve analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 11% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we find it odd that Adecco Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Key Takeaway

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Adecco Group currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Adecco Group (2 are concerning!) that we have uncovered.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Adecco Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.