Stock Analysis

Lojas Renner S.A.'s (BVMF:LREN3) Share Price Matching Investor Opinion

BOVESPA:LREN3
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16.8x Lojas Renner S.A. (BVMF:LREN3) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Brazil have P/E ratios under 10x and even P/E's lower than 7x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Lojas Renner's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Lojas Renner

pe-multiple-vs-industry
BOVESPA:LREN3 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 9th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Lojas Renner.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Lojas Renner would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 23%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 18% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 18% per year as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 16% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that Lojas Renner's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Lojas Renner's P/E?

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Lojas Renner maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Lojas Renner that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Lojas Renner is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.