Stock Analysis

James Hardie Industries plc (ASX:JHX) Not Lagging Market On Growth Or Pricing

ASX:JHX
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 28.9x James Hardie Industries plc (ASX:JHX) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Australia have P/E ratios under 19x and even P/E's lower than 11x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.

With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, James Hardie Industries has been doing quite well of late. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for James Hardie Industries

pe-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:JHX Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 17th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on James Hardie Industries.

Is There Enough Growth For James Hardie Industries?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as James Hardie Industries' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 12% gain to the company's bottom line. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see EPS up by 220% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 22% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 17% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that James Hardie Industries' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Bottom Line On James Hardie Industries' P/E

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that James Hardie Industries maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for James Hardie Industries with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

You might be able to find a better investment than James Hardie Industries. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether James Hardie Industries is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About ASX:JHX

James Hardie Industries

James Hardie Industries plc manufactures and sells fiber cement, fiber gypsum, and cement bonded building products for interior and exterior building construction applications primarily in the United States, Australia, Europe, New Zealand, and the Philippines.

Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.

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