Stock Analysis

Is Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane (BIT:INW) A Risky Investment?

BIT:INW
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane S.p.A. (BIT:INW) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane

How Much Debt Does Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2023, Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane had €4.30b of debt, up from €3.19b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of €95.1m, its net debt is less, at about €4.21b.

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BIT:INW Debt to Equity History April 3rd 2024

How Healthy Is Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane had liabilities of €703.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €4.31b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €95.1m as well as receivables valued at €180.7m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €4.74b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane has a huge market capitalization of €9.73b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane's debt is 4.8 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 4.5 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Also relevant is that Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane has grown its EBIT by a very respectable 21% in the last year, thus enhancing its ability to pay down debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last three years, Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane's free cash flow amounted to 32% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane's net debt to EBITDA and conversion of EBIT to free cash flow definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But its EBIT growth rate tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.