Stock Analysis

Archicom S.A.'s (WSE:ARH) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 25%

WSE:ARH
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Archicom S.A. (WSE:ARH) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 25% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 68%.

Although its price has surged higher, Archicom's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.9x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Poland, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 13x and even P/E's above 26x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Recent times have been advantageous for Archicom as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Archicom

pe-multiple-vs-industry
WSE:ARH Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 16th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Archicom will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Archicom's Growth Trending?

Archicom's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 73% last year. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 20% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 1.1% per year during the coming three years according to the dual analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 8.2% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Archicom's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Archicom's P/E?

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Archicom's P/E close to the market median. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Archicom's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Archicom (1 is a bit concerning!) that we have uncovered.

You might be able to find a better investment than Archicom. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Archicom is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.