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Electrosteel castings Ltd. Future Outlook

RO
ronit_2010Invested
Community Contributor

Published

July 17 2024

Updated

August 13 2024

Narratives are currently in beta

Electrosteel castings is the leading Ductile pipes manufacturer with 40% market share and multiple competitive advantages including international accredations, with rising incomes and infra projects, electro should be able maintain healthy order books and above market margins, the company has focused on reducing debt in the last year or so and i believe it should be able to either a) payout to their shareholders i.e dividends ( Unlikely), or b) develop a capacity/portfolio expansion strategy which should further fortify Electro as a leader in the industry. Their focus on increasing exports should allow electro to tap into new markets and expand over the next few years. This is why i believe that Electro could be evaluated at an expected cagr of 25%. even though the last 5 year cagr has stood at over 30%. Another good indicator is high promoter interest who has increased their holdings from 44% to 46% from FY23 to FY24. It is also noted that the P/E of the company is lower than that of its industry peers, leading me to believe that there is margin just on market valuations.

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Disclaimer

The user ronit_2010 has a position in BSE:500128. Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. The author of this narrative is not affiliated with, nor authorised by Simply Wall St as a sub-authorised representative. This narrative is general in nature and explores scenarios and estimates created by the author. The narrative does not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are estimations only, and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that the author's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
Fair Value
₹312.8
30.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
ronit_2010's Fair Value
Future estimation in
PastFuture020b40b60b80b100b20142016201820202022202420262027Revenue ₹103.9bEarnings ₹11.4b
% p.a.
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Current revenue growth rate
4.31%
Building revenue growth rate
0.17%
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