Vulcan Steel Limited

ASX:VSL Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$759.0m

Vulcan Steel Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Vulcan Steel is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 38.6% and 10.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 56.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 22.5% in 3 years.

Key information

38.6%

Earnings growth rate

56.41%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth14.9%
Revenue growth rate10.2%
Future return on equity22.51%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated01 Jun 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

New Narrative Jun 01

Higher Fixed Costs And Inventory Build Will Pressure Margins And Constrain Cash Flows

Catalysts About Vulcan Steel Vulcan Steel operates steel and metals distribution and processing businesses across Australia and New Zealand, including a recently acquired roofing and roll forming division. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Narrative Update Apr 08

VSL: Dividend Timeline Will Support Bullish Outlook On Future Earnings Multiple

Analysts have made a small adjustment to their Vulcan Steel price target, now assessing fair value at A$6.99. This reflects updated views on the company’s discount rate, revenue growth outlook, profit margins and future P/E assumptions.
Narrative Update Mar 07

VSL: Dividend Timeline And Updated Assumptions Will Support A Balanced Outlook

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Vulcan Steel from A$7.02 to A$6.99, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. What's in the News Vulcan Steel declared an ordinary fully franked dividend of NZ$0.02941176 per security for the six months ended December 31, 2025 (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Feb 21

VSL: Slightly Higher Fair Value And P/E Assumptions Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target on Vulcan Steel to A$7.02 from A$6.85, citing adjustments to fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions as the main drivers of the change. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Updated from A$6.85 to A$7.02, representing a small uplift of around 2.5% in the assessed value per share.
Narrative Update Feb 06

VSL: Higher Return Hurdle And P/E Tweaks Will Guide Fair Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Vulcan Steel slightly to around A$6.85 from about A$6.87. This reflects small updates to fair value, discount rate assumptions and future P/E expectations rather than any major shift in the thesis.
Narrative Update Jan 23

VSL: Higher Return Hurdle And P/E Assumptions Will Shape Fair Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target for Vulcan Steel from A$6.50 to about A$6.87, reflecting updated assumptions about discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value: updated slightly higher from about A$6.50 to about A$6.87 per share.
Narrative Update Sep 05

Acquisitions And Recovery In Australasia Will Expand Market Reach

Despite a significant decline in Vulcan Steel's future P/E ratio, indicating improved value or lower growth expectations, the consensus analyst price target has remained unchanged at A$6.50. What's in the News Vulcan Steel announced a follow-on equity offering totaling AUD 87.1 million through a rights issue, offering 14,642,849 ordinary shares at AUD 5.95 per share with a slight discount.
Analysis Article Jun 22

Investors Could Be Concerned With Vulcan Steel's (ASX:VSL) Returns On Capital

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? One common...
Analysis Article Apr 07

Is Vulcan Steel (ASX:VSL) A Risky Investment?

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
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New Narrative Feb 15

Diversifying Into Aluminum And Economic Recovery In Queensland May Improve Future Prospects Despite Inflation Pressures

Ongoing expansion into aluminum and new markets could drive growth by diversifying offerings and tapping into emerging opportunities.
Analysis Article Aug 29

Vulcan Steel's (ASX:VSL) Dividend Will Be NZ$0.1389

Vulcan Steel Limited's ( ASX:VSL ) investors are due to receive a payment of NZ$0.1389 per share on 10th of October...
Analysis Article Apr 18

These 4 Measures Indicate That Vulcan Steel (ASX:VSL) Is Using Debt Extensively

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Analysis Article Mar 21

There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Vulcan Steel's (ASX:VSL) Returns On Capital

If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. In a perfect world, we'd like to see...
Analysis Article Sep 18

Vulcan Steel's (ASX:VSL) Dividend Is Being Reduced To NZ$0.305

Vulcan Steel Limited ( ASX:VSL ) is reducing its dividend from last year's comparable payment to NZ$0.305 on the 12th...
Analysis Article Aug 31

Vulcan Steel's (ASX:VSL) Dividend Is Being Reduced To NZ$0.305

Vulcan Steel Limited's ( ASX:VSL ) dividend is being reduced from last year's payment covering the same period to...
Analysis Article Jul 04

Should You Be Adding Vulcan Steel (ASX:VSL) To Your Watchlist Today?

For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...
Analysis Article Feb 20

Vulcan Steel's (ASX:VSL) Shareholders May Want To Dig Deeper Than Statutory Profit

Vulcan Steel Limited's ( ASX:VSL ) stock didn't jump after it announced some healthy earnings. We did some digging and...
Analysis Article Dec 15

Vulcan Steel Limited's (ASX:VSL) Shares Lagging The Market But So Is The Business

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9x Vulcan Steel Limited ( ASX:VSL ) may be sending bullish signals at the...
Analysis Article Jun 09

Does This Valuation Of Vulcan Steel Limited (ASX:VSL) Imply Investors Are Overpaying?

In this article we are going to estimate the intrinsic value of Vulcan Steel Limited ( ASX:VSL ) by taking the forecast...

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:VSL - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (NZD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
6/30/20281,34885N/A1365
6/30/20271,2476050986
6/30/20261,0992752836
12/31/2025991154163N/A
9/30/2025969156284N/A
6/30/20259481684105N/A
3/31/202597119101125N/A
12/31/202499323118144N/A
9/30/20241,02932130156N/A
6/30/20241,06440142169N/A
3/31/20241,11850175202N/A
12/31/20231,17160208235N/A
9/30/20231,20874165190N/A
6/30/20231,24588122145N/A
3/31/20231,1961064969N/A
12/31/20221,148124-25-8N/A
9/30/20221,060124-132N/A
6/30/2022973124012N/A
3/31/20229121073444N/A
12/31/2021850906776N/A
9/30/2021791778491N/A
6/30/202173265100105N/A
6/30/2020640296671N/A
6/30/201961736N/A23N/A
6/30/201853942N/A22N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: VSL's forecast earnings growth (38.6% per year) is above the savings rate (3.6%).

Earnings vs Market: VSL's earnings (38.6% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (12.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: VSL's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: VSL's revenue (10.2% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (6.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: VSL's revenue (10.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: VSL's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (22.5%)


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/03 10:54
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/03 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Vulcan Steel Limited is covered by 6 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Shaurya VisenBofA Global Research
Rohan Koreman-SmitForsyth Barr Group Ltd.
Grant SwanepoelJarden Limited