BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) Limited

SEHK:2388 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$448.1b

BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 3/6

BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 13.1%, while the Banks industry saw earnings growing at 3.1% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 8.9% per year. BOC Hong Kong (Holdings)'s return on equity is 11.3%, and it has net margins of 58.4%.

Key information

13.06%

Earnings growth rate

13.06%

EPS growth rate

Banks Industry Growth-0.013%
Revenue growth rate8.90%
Return on equity11.33%
Net Margin58.38%
Last Earnings Update31 Dec 2025

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 27

2388: Dividend Timetable And Higher P E Assumptions Will Guide Steady Outlook

The analyst price target for BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) has been raised from about HK$45.18 to around HK$48.32. Analysts point to updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E to support the change.
Narrative Update Jun 13

2388: Future Dividend Timetable Will Expose Earnings Fragility And Overvaluation

Analysts kept their HK$39.90 price target on BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) steady, citing slightly adjusted assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E after recent research updates, including a fresh upgrade from the Street. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for March 30, 2026 to consider and approve the audited consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2025, and to consider the declaration of a final dividend.
Narrative Update May 30

2388: Higher Earnings Assumptions And Dividend Visibility Will Support Forward P/E Repricing

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) from HK$48.00 to about HK$57.36, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E that support the recent price target upgrade highlighted in Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary around BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) has turned more constructive, with bullish analysts pointing to updated assumptions on revenue, profitability and P/E that feed into higher fair value views.
Narrative Update May 05

2388: Upgraded Assumptions Will Test Earnings Resilience And Dividend Sustainability

Analysts have adjusted their HK$39.90 price target for BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) to reflect updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, following recent research that has become more constructive on the stock after a fresh upgrade from major houses. Analyst Commentary Recent research on BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) has turned more constructive after a fresh upgrade from Goldman Sachs, yet the tone across the Street still includes a cautious strand that focuses on execution risks, growth visibility and how much of the potential good news is already reflected in the HK$39.90 target.
Narrative Update Apr 20

2388: Dividend Timetable And Margin Assumptions Will Shape A Steady Outlook

Analysts have lifted their price target for BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) from about HK$40.41 to around HK$45.18, citing updated assumptions that reflect higher projected revenue growth, a slightly lower discount rate, improved profit margins, and a broadly steady forward P/E multiple. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for March 30, 2026 to consider and approve the audited consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2025, and to consider declaring a final dividend (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Apr 05

2388: Dividend Policy And Profitability Assumptions Will Shape Balanced Forward Risk Profile

Analysts have lifted their price target on BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) from HK$38.50 to HK$39.90, citing updated assumptions that include a slightly lower discount rate, a profit margin of about 54.81% and a forward P/E of roughly 11.95x. What's in the News A final dividend of HK$1.255 per share has been recommended for the year ended 31 December 2025, subject to shareholder approval at the annual general meeting on 25 June 2026 (company announcement).
Narrative Update Mar 22

2388: New Services Agreement And Connected Transaction Caps Will Support Forward P/E Repricing

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) to HK$48.00 from HK$46.00, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E levels. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for March 30, 2026 to consider and approve the audited consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2025, and to consider declaring a final dividend (company announcement).
Narrative Update Mar 08

2388: New Connected Transaction Caps Will Shape Governance Outlook And Balanced Risk Profile

Analysts have lifted their price target for BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) from HK$32.98 to HK$38.50, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) stated that the applicable percentage ratios for its Investment and Referral Connected Transactions and Inter-bank Connected Transactions are 5% or more under Rule 14.07 of the Listing Rules.
Narrative Update Feb 22

2388: New Connected Transaction Caps Will Increase Governance Concerns And Downside Risk

Analysts have slightly raised their fair value estimate for BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) to HK$32.98, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate and forward P/E that fine tune rather than overhaul their prior view. What's in the News BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) announced that the applicable percentage ratios for the New Caps related to its Investment and Referral Connected Transactions and Inter-bank Connected Transactions are 5% or more, which brings these arrangements under the non exempt continuing connected transaction rules of Chapter 14A of the Hong Kong Listing Rules (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Feb 07

2388: Connected Transaction Review And New Agreement Will Anchor Forward P/E Outlook

Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) steady at HK$46.00, with only minor tweaks to inputs such as the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions shaping this unchanged target. What's in the News BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) flagged that the applicable percentage ratios for its Investment and Referral Connected Transactions and Inter-bank Connected Transactions are 5% or more, which means these fall under non-exempt continuing connected transactions under Chapter 14A of the Listing Rules and trigger reporting, annual review, announcement and independent shareholders' approval requirements (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Jan 24

2388: New Connected Transaction Framework Will Support Forward P/E Re-Rating

Analysts have raised their price target for BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) from HK$43.50 to HK$46.00, reflecting updated views on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) flagged that certain Investment and Referral Connected Transactions and Inter-bank Connected Transactions now fall under non exempt continuing connected transactions, triggered when applicable percentage ratios reach 5% or more under Hong Kong Listing Rules Chapter 14A (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Jan 09

2388: New Connected Transaction Caps And Agreement Will Raise Governance Risk

Analysts have lifted their price target for BOC Hong Kong (Holdings), with fair value now estimated at HK$32.53 compared with HK$28.64 previously, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate and future P/E. What's in the News Company flagged that new caps for Investment and Referral Connected Transactions and Inter-bank Connected Transactions each reach 5% or more under Listing Rule 14.07, so they fall under non exempt continuing connected transactions and require reporting, annual review, announcement and independent shareholders' approval (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Dec 25

2388: Dividend Decision And Stable Margins Will Guide Measured Outlook Ahead

Analysts have nudged their price target for BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) slightly higher to HKD 40.41 from HKD 39.99, reflecting marginally stronger expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future earnings multiples. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for October 28, 2025, to review and approve BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) Limited's third quarter 2025 financial and business performance (Key Developments) Directors to consider the declaration of the third interim dividend for 2025 at the upcoming board meeting (Key Developments) Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate has risen slightly, increasing from HK$39.99 to approximately HK$40.41 per share.
Narrative Update Dec 11

2388: Stable Margins And Dividend Decision Will Shape Outlook Ahead

Analysts have trimmed their price target on BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) slightly, from HK$40.21 to HK$39.99, citing marginally lower fair value assumptions driven by a modest reduction in expected profit margins and valuation multiples, despite largely unchanged growth and discount rate forecasts. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for October 28, 2025, to review and approve BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) Limited's financial and business results for the third quarter of 2025 (Key Developments) Directors to consider the declaration of the third interim dividend for 2025 at the upcoming board meeting, signaling potential further shareholder returns (Key Developments) Valuation Changes The fair value estimate edged down slightly from HK$40.21 to HK$39.99 per share, reflecting a marginally lower intrinsic valuation.
Narrative Update Nov 27

2388: Steady Margins And Upcoming Board Decisions Will Guide Outlook Ahead

Analysts have slightly adjusted their price target for BOC Hong Kong (Holdings), keeping it at HK$40.21. They cite stable revenue growth, profit margins, and valuation forecasts as reasons for this minor update.
Narrative Update Nov 11

2388: Upcoming Board Decisions And Steady Margins Will Shape Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target for BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) from HK$38.60 to HK$40.21. They cite moderate improvements in revenue growth and profit margins, as well as a slightly lower discount rate in their updated projections.
Narrative Update Oct 28

Acquisitions And Southeast Asia Expansion Will Drive Performance Amid Dividend Review

Analysts have marginally raised their fair value estimate for BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) from HK$38.50 to HK$38.60. This change reflects subtle adjustments in key valuation inputs after recent financial reviews.
Narrative Update Oct 14

Acquisitions And Southeast Asia Expansion Will Unlock Future Potential

Analysts have raised their price target for BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) from $37.67 to $38.50, citing improvements in revenue growth and profit margins. What's in the News An upcoming Board Meeting is scheduled for August 29, 2025.
Narrative Update Aug 27

Acquisitions And Southeast Asia Expansion Will Unlock Future Potential

A marginal upward revision in consensus revenue growth forecasts for BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) has led to a slight increase in the analyst price target, now at HK$35.72. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled to review and approve unaudited consolidated financial statements for H1 2025 and consider declaration of 2025 second interim dividend.
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New Narrative Feb 09

Expanding Southeast Asian Operations Will Diversify Future Revenue Streams

BOC Hong Kong's expansion in cross-border business and Southeast Asia signals strong revenue growth and diversification opportunities.

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

SEHK:2388 Revenue, expenses and earnings (HKD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
31 Dec 2568,72840,12116,4630
30 Sep 2569,17340,23316,2320
30 Jun 2569,61740,34516,0010
31 Mar 2567,89339,28915,9540
31 Dec 2466,16838,23315,9070
30 Sep 2464,45836,99915,6400
30 Jun 2462,74835,76515,3730
31 Mar 2460,95434,24415,2220
31 Dec 2359,16032,72315,0700
30 Sep 2358,52331,52014,9130
30 Jun 2357,88530,31614,7560
31 Mar 2354,87628,12814,5080
31 Dec 2251,86625,94014,2590
30 Sep 2249,24024,47814,1690
30 Jun 2246,61423,01614,0790
31 Mar 2246,72422,99313,9630
31 Dec 2146,83422,97013,8470
30 Sep 2147,54423,41213,8230
30 Jun 2148,25323,85413,7980
31 Mar 2150,00825,17113,7890
31 Dec 2051,76326,48713,7790
30 Sep 2053,59028,31313,8740
30 Jun 2055,41630,13913,9690
31 Mar 2055,91631,16213,8970
31 Dec 1956,41532,18413,8250
30 Sep 1955,40531,97413,4220
30 Jun 1954,39431,76313,0180
31 Mar 1953,84131,91712,8180
31 Dec 1853,28732,07012,6180
30 Sep 1852,51931,65412,3460
30 Jun 1851,75131,23812,0730
31 Mar 1849,84429,90611,8420
31 Dec 1747,93628,57411,6100
30 Sep 1746,69028,14811,3190
30 Jun 1745,44427,72211,0270
31 Mar 1743,71626,14810,7010
31 Dec 1641,98724,57410,3740
30 Sep 1640,56623,99710,0760
30 Jun 1639,14423,4209,7770
31 Mar 1639,32023,5899,6770
31 Dec 1539,49523,7579,5760

Quality Earnings: 2388 has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: 2388's current net profit margins (58.4%) are higher than last year (57.8%).


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: 2388's earnings have grown by 13.1% per year over the past 5 years.

Accelerating Growth: 2388's earnings growth over the past year (4.9%) is below its 5-year average (13.1% per year).

Earnings vs Industry: 2388 earnings growth over the past year (4.9%) did not outperform the Banks industry 5%.


Return on Equity

High ROE: 2388's Return on Equity (11.3%) is considered low.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/02 09:20
End of Day Share Price 2026/07/02 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) Limited is covered by 33 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Wing San WongBarclays
Michael WernerBernstein
Yi WuBofA Global Research