The Sage Group plc

LSE:SGE Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£12.9b

Sage Group Valuation

Is SGE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SGE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SGE (£13.11) is trading above our estimate of fair value (£12.44)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SGE is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SGE?

Key metric: As SGE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SGE. This is calculated by dividing SGE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SGE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio40.4x
EarningsUK£323.00m
Market CapUK£12.89b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SGE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SGE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average50.6x
BYIT Bytes Technology Group
20.9x6.7%UK£1.1b
GBG GB Group
116.5x36.6%UK£949.0m
ALFA Alfa Financial Software Holdings
29.4x6.3%UK£649.3m
CER Cerillion
35.4x8.5%UK£540.6m
SGE Sage Group
40.4x12.5%UK£13.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SGE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.4x) compared to the peer average (50.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SGE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Software Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SORT Sorted Group Holdings
3xn/aUS$5.46m
No more companies available in this PE range
SGE 40.4xIndustry Avg. 35.3xNo. of Companies4PE020406080100+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SGE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.4x) compared to the UK Software industry average (35.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SGE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SGE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio40.4x
Fair PE Ratio50.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SGE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (50.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SGE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£13.11
UK£12.69
-3.2%
13.2%UK£15.23UK£10.00n/a20
Nov ’25UK£9.85
UK£11.99
+21.7%
13.2%UK£15.00UK£8.80n/a20
Oct ’25UK£10.06
UK£12.00
+19.2%
13.2%UK£15.00UK£8.80n/a20
Sep ’25UK£10.11
UK£11.98
+18.5%
13.3%UK£15.00UK£8.80n/a20
Aug ’25UK£10.75
UK£12.03
+12.0%
13.6%UK£15.00UK£8.80n/a20
Jul ’25UK£10.74
UK£12.18
+13.4%
14.1%UK£15.00UK£8.80n/a20
Jun ’25UK£10.23
UK£12.23
+19.6%
14.4%UK£15.00UK£8.80n/a20
May ’25UK£11.61
UK£12.00
+3.4%
16.2%UK£15.00UK£8.09n/a21
Apr ’25UK£12.66
UK£11.79
-6.8%
15.2%UK£15.00UK£8.09n/a21
Mar ’25UK£12.45
UK£11.56
-7.1%
15.4%UK£14.00UK£8.09n/a21
Feb ’25UK£11.74
UK£11.40
-2.8%
15.2%UK£14.00UK£8.09n/a19
Jan ’25UK£11.73
UK£11.29
-3.7%
15.7%UK£14.50UK£8.09n/a21
Dec ’24UK£11.49
UK£11.08
-3.5%
16.3%UK£14.50UK£8.09n/a21
Nov ’24UK£9.82
UK£9.98
+1.7%
15.3%UK£12.70UK£8.00UK£9.8521
Oct ’24UK£9.89
UK£9.83
-0.6%
14.4%UK£12.70UK£8.00UK£10.0622
Sep ’24UK£9.70
UK£9.72
+0.2%
13.7%UK£12.70UK£8.00UK£10.1122
Aug ’24UK£9.39
UK£9.65
+2.8%
13.2%UK£12.70UK£8.00UK£10.7522
Jul ’24UK£9.25
UK£9.25
+0.02%
13.1%UK£12.70UK£7.01UK£10.7422
Jun ’24UK£8.69
UK£8.91
+2.4%
10.4%UK£10.15UK£7.01UK£10.2321
May ’24UK£8.19
UK£8.57
+4.7%
10.6%UK£9.96UK£6.83UK£11.6121
Apr ’24UK£7.75
UK£8.56
+10.5%
10.6%UK£9.96UK£6.83UK£12.6621
Mar ’24UK£7.52
UK£8.64
+15.0%
10.8%UK£9.96UK£6.83UK£12.4520
Feb ’24UK£7.79
UK£8.64
+10.9%
10.8%UK£9.96UK£6.83UK£11.7420
Jan ’24UK£7.46
UK£8.40
+12.6%
15.0%UK£10.87UK£6.30UK£11.7319
Dec ’23UK£8.12
UK£8.37
+3.2%
14.6%UK£10.87UK£6.30UK£11.4920
Nov ’23UK£7.23
UK£7.92
+9.5%
15.5%UK£10.87UK£5.90UK£9.8219

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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