Rithm Capital Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Rithm Capital is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 22.8% and 15.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 19.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 16.1% in 3 years.

Key information

22.8%

Earnings growth rate

19.7%

EPS growth rate

Mortgage REITs earnings growth43.7%
Revenue growth rate15.8%
Future return on equity16.1%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated29 Apr 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Rithm's Dividend Story Remains Compelling - More Upside Ahead

Apr 20

Rithm Capital's Updated Sector Comparative Analysis - Part 1 (Includes Recommendation For 17 Peers As Of 3/14/2025)

Mar 19

Rithm Capital Has 4 Preferreds: B Is My Pick Now

Mar 03

Rithm Capital: Discount To Book, Yielding Over 8% And Could Appreciate With Rate Cuts

Feb 17

Rithm Capital: Attractive Opportunity Under The Right Rate Environment

Jan 30

Rithm Capital: Hawkish Fed, Strong Yield, Upside Potential In 2025

Jan 06

Rithm Capital: 9% Yield, 2.2x Dividend Coverage, Upside

Dec 16

Rithm Capital: A Strong And Cheap 9% Yielder

Dec 01
author-image

Expanding Financial Horizons Through Diversification And Strategic Acquisitions Boosts Profitability

Aug 29 Diversification through expansion into alternative assets and direct lending strengthens financial position, potentially enhancing revenue and profitability.

Rithm Capital: High-Yield Bargain Opportunity

Aug 14

Rithm: A Bargain With Rich Dividend Yields

Aug 03

2 Rithm Capital Preferred Stocks Poised For Big Returns

May 29

Rithm: Get Paid 8.79% As Investors Await Its Transition

May 16

Rithm Capital: Look Beyond The ~9% Dividend Yield

Mar 26

Rithm Capital: This 10% Yield Is On Sale

Feb 22

Rithm Capital: Recent Acquisitions Support Its High-Dividend Yield

Jan 10

Rithm Capital: A Magnificent, Bargain-Priced 10% Yield

Nov 23

Rithm Capital: Deep Value, 11% Covered Yield, 26% BV Discount

Oct 31

Rithm Capital PFD D: Maybe No Longer The Best Choice - Swap Time?

Oct 18

Should You Buy Rithm Capital For Its 11% Yield?

Oct 04

Rithm Capital: The Dividend Lesson

Sep 26

Rithm Capital: This 9.8% Yielding Mortgage Trust Now Has A Catalyst

Jul 27

Rithm Capital: I Sold The Preferreds To Buy The 11% Yielding Commons

Jun 14

Rithm Capital: This Huge 12% Mortgage Yield Is Sustainable

May 25

Rithm Capital: Out-Of-Touch 21% BV Discount For A Covered 10.5% Yield

Feb 20

Rithm Capital Non-GAAP EPS of $0.33 beats by $0.04, revenue of $762.4M beats by $12.26M

Feb 08

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:RITM - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20275,3621,150N/AN/A1
12/31/20264,909964N/AN/A6
12/31/20254,270701N/AN/A5
3/31/20253,561626460551N/A
12/31/20243,787835-2,278-2,185N/A
9/30/20243,071484-1,735-1,649N/A
6/30/20243,202581-1,592-1,908N/A
3/31/20243,223725-1,067-1,802N/A
12/31/20232,8205331,431694N/A
9/30/20232,9547021,496761N/A
6/30/20232,9606322,0781,629N/A
3/31/20233,2142723,0563,044N/A
12/31/20224,4688655,7815,753N/A
9/30/20223,83294310,30210,303N/A
6/30/20224,1039659,2549,254N/A
3/31/20223,6781,0907,3137,269N/A
12/31/20214,2757053,4983,435N/A
9/30/20213,312614-646-699N/A
6/30/20212,814545-1,887-1,907N/A
3/31/20212,432415767N/A
12/31/2020-122-1,4651,4291,874N/A
9/30/202027-1,3212,0842,580N/A
6/30/2020-49-1,1752,8953,927N/A
3/31/2020-311-1,198-1,512-11N/A
12/31/20191,555550-2,963-1,598N/A
9/30/20191,167339-5,011-3,470N/A
6/30/20191,066299-5,526-4,209N/A
3/31/20191,156505-3,114-2,043N/A
12/31/20181,532964N/A-1,229N/A
9/30/20181,8541,252N/A-358N/A
6/30/20181,8521,293N/A-359N/A
3/31/20182,1641,440N/A-7N/A
12/31/20171,605958N/A-900N/A
9/30/20171,495894N/A-565N/A
6/30/20171,298767N/A-124N/A
3/31/2017876514N/A12N/A
12/31/2016796504N/A561N/A
9/30/2016572382N/A452N/A
6/30/2016468338N/A131N/A
3/31/2016459344N/A492N/A
12/31/2015389269N/A306N/A
9/30/2015362220N/A607N/A
6/30/2015454292N/A319N/A
3/31/2015559340N/A-186N/A
12/31/2014565353N/A-172N/A
9/30/2014581379N/A-365N/A
6/30/2014475316N/A165N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: RITM's forecast earnings growth (22.8% per year) is above the savings rate (2.8%).

Earnings vs Market: RITM's earnings (22.8% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (13.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: RITM's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: RITM's revenue (15.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (8.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: RITM's revenue (15.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: RITM's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (16.1%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/09 23:50
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/09 00:00
Earnings2025/03/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Rithm Capital Corp. is covered by 22 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullArgus Research Company
Mark DeVriesBarclays
Mark DeVriesBarclays