Rithm Capital Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Rithm Capital is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 10.5% and 15.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 10.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 14.3% in 3 years.

Key information

10.5%

Earnings growth rate

10.5%

EPS growth rate

Mortgage REITs earnings growth	57.3%
Revenue growth rate	15.3%
Future return on equity	14.3%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	15 Sep 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Rithm Capital Non-GAAP EPS of $0.33 beats by $0.04, revenue of $762.4M beats by $12.26M

Feb 08

Rithm Capital: Your Next Purchase Could Yield You 11.9%

Dec 22

Rithm Capital declares $0.25 dividend

Dec 15

Rithm Capital: The Preferreds Move Better

Dec 07

Rithm Capital: Don't Become A Panic Seller Now

Oct 19

Rithm Capital's 11.2% Yield: You Have No Excuse For Not Buying

Sep 19

Rithm's Newrez unit introduces 40-year fixed interest-only non-QM mortgage

Sep 01

New Residential Investment Q2 2022 Earnings Preview

Aug 01

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:RITM - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	5,068	863	N/A	N/A	2
12/31/2025	4,622	726	N/A	N/A	6
12/31/2024	4,749	805	N/A	N/A	6
6/30/2024	3,135	581	-1,459	-1,738	N/A
3/31/2024	3,158	725	-929	-1,632	N/A
12/31/2023	2,791	533	1,399	694	N/A
9/30/2023	2,896	702	1,400	687	N/A
6/30/2023	2,924	632	2,061	1,629	N/A
3/31/2023	3,214	272	3,056	3,044	N/A
12/31/2022	4,449	865	5,764	5,753	N/A
9/30/2022	3,832	943	10,302	10,303	N/A
6/30/2022	4,103	965	9,254	9,254	N/A
3/31/2022	3,678	1,090	7,313	7,269	N/A
12/31/2021	4,275	705	3,498	3,435	N/A
9/30/2021	3,312	614	-646	-699	N/A
6/30/2021	2,814	545	-1,887	-1,907	N/A
3/31/2021	2,432	415	7	67	N/A
12/31/2020	-122	-1,465	1,429	1,874	N/A
9/30/2020	27	-1,321	2,084	2,580	N/A
6/30/2020	-49	-1,175	2,895	3,927	N/A
3/31/2020	-311	-1,198	-1,512	-11	N/A
12/31/2019	1,555	550	-2,963	-1,598	N/A
9/30/2019	1,167	339	-5,011	-3,470	N/A
6/30/2019	1,066	299	-5,526	-4,209	N/A
3/31/2019	1,156	505	-3,114	-2,043	N/A
12/31/2018	1,532	964	-2,399	-1,229	N/A
9/30/2018	1,854	1,252	-1,391	-358	N/A
6/30/2018	1,852	1,293	-1,459	-359	N/A
3/31/2018	2,164	1,440	N/A	-7	N/A
12/31/2017	1,605	958	N/A	-900	N/A
9/30/2017	1,495	894	N/A	-565	N/A
6/30/2017	1,298	767	N/A	-124	N/A
3/31/2017	876	514	N/A	12	N/A
12/31/2016	796	504	N/A	561	N/A
9/30/2016	572	382	N/A	452	N/A
6/30/2016	468	338	N/A	131	N/A
3/31/2016	459	344	N/A	492	N/A
12/31/2015	389	269	N/A	306	N/A
9/30/2015	362	220	N/A	607	N/A
6/30/2015	454	292	N/A	319	N/A
3/31/2015	559	340	N/A	-186	N/A
12/31/2014	565	353	N/A	-172	N/A
9/30/2014	581	379	N/A	-365	N/A
6/30/2014	475	316	N/A	165	N/A
3/31/2014	357	302	N/A	155	N/A
12/31/2013	308	266	N/A	157	N/A
9/30/2013	225	206	N/A	105	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: RITM's forecast earnings growth (10.5% per year) is above the savings rate (2.5%).

Earnings vs Market: RITM's earnings (10.5% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (15.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: RITM's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: RITM's revenue (15.3% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (8.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: RITM's revenue (15.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: RITM's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (14.3%).

Rithm Capital Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 11%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 21%, revenue upgraded

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 17%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 10%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 42%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 24%

Recent updates

Rithm Capital Corp. has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $340.2 million.

Rithm Capital Corp. has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $342.9 million.

Rithm Capital: High-Yield Bargain Opportunity

Rithm Capital Corp. announced delayed 10-Q filing

Rithm: A Bargain With Rich Dividend Yields

Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Rithm Capital Corp. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Jul 31, 2024

First quarter dividend of US$0.25 announced

Rithm Capital Corp. Declares a Dividend for the Second Quarter 2024, Payable on July 26, 2024

2 Rithm Capital Preferred Stocks Poised For Big Returns

Rithm: Get Paid 8.79% As Investors Await Its Transition

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 11%

First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Rithm Capital Corp. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Apr 30, 2024

Rithm Capital Corp., Annual General Meeting, May 23, 2024

Rithm Capital: Look Beyond The ~9% Dividend Yield

Fourth quarter dividend of US$0.25 announced

Rithm Capital Corp. Declares Dividend on Common Stock for the First Quarter 2024, Payable on April 26, 2024

Rithm Capital: This 10% Yield Is On Sale

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 21%, revenue upgraded

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Rithm Capital Corp. (NYSE:RITM) announces an Equity Buyback for $200 million worth of its shares.

Rithm Capital Corp. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 07, 2024

Rithm Capital: Recent Acquisitions Support Its High-Dividend Yield

Upcoming dividend of US$0.25 per share at 9.1% yield

Rithm Capital Corp. Declares Fourth Quarter 2023 Common Dividend, Payable on January 26, 2024

Rithm Capital: A Magnificent, Bargain-Priced 10% Yield

Rithm Capital Corp. (NYSE:RITM) completed the acquisition of Sculptor Capital Management, Inc. (NYSE:SCU) from shareholders.

Rithm Capital Corp.(NYSE:RITM) dropped from S&P Global BMI Index

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Rithm Capital: Deep Value, 11% Covered Yield, 26% BV Discount

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Rithm Capital Corp. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Oct 26, 2023

Rithm Capital PFD D: Maybe No Longer The Best Choice - Swap Time?

Should You Buy Rithm Capital For Its 11% Yield?

Rithm Capital: The Dividend Lesson

Upcoming dividend of US$0.25 per share at 10% yield

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 17%

Rithm Capital Corp. (NYSE:RITM), American Real Estate Partners and GreenBarn Investment Group acquired Luxury 200-unit subdivision of townhomes in Ashburn, Virginia from Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (NYSE:DFH) for approximately $120 million.

Rithm Capital Corp. (NYSE:RITM), American Real Estate Partners and GreenBarn Investment Group acquired Luxury 200-unit subdivision of townhomes in Ashburn, Virginia from Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (NYSE:DFH) for approximately $120 million.

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 10%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 42%

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Rithm Capital: This 9.8% Yielding Mortgage Trust Now Has A Catalyst

Rithm Capital Corp. (NYSE:RITM) entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Sculptor Capital Management, Inc. (NYSE:SCU) from shareholders for approximately $700 million.

Rithm Capital Corp. (NYSE:RITM) entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Sculptor Capital Management, Inc. (NYSE:SCU) from shareholders for approximately $700 million.

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 24%

Rithm Capital Corp. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Aug 02, 2023

Rithm Capital Declares Quarterly Dividend Payable on July 28, 2023

Rithm Capital: I Sold The Preferreds To Buy The 11% Yielding Commons

Rithm Capital: This Huge 12% Mortgage Yield Is Sustainable

Rithm Capital Corp. Announces Hire of Satish Mansukhani as Managing Director in Investment Strategy

First quarter 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Rithm Capital: Out-Of-Touch 21% BV Discount For A Covered 10.5% Yield

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Rithm Capital Non-GAAP EPS of $0.33 beats by $0.04, revenue of $762.4M beats by $12.26M

Rithm Capital Corp. to Report Q4, 2022 Results on Feb 08, 2023

Rithm Capital Corp. Appoints Kenneth Bruce as Managing Director; Investor Relations

Rithm Capital Corp. Elects Peggy Hwan Hebard to the Board of Directors

Rithm Capital: Your Next Purchase Could Yield You 11.9%

Upcoming dividend of US$0.25 per share

Rithm Capital Corp. Announces Resignation of Robert J. Mcginnis as Director

Rithm Capital Corp. (NYSE:RITM) announces an Equity Buyback for $200 million worth of its shares.

Rithm Capital declares $0.25 dividend

Rithm Capital: The Preferreds Move Better

Insufficient new directors

Third quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Now 23% undervalued after recent price drop