Netflix Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Netflix is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 15.4% and 10.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 16.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 38.2% in 3 years.

Key information

15.4%

Earnings growth rate

16.2%

EPS growth rate

Entertainment earnings growth25.6%
Revenue growth rate10.3%
Future return on equity38.2%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated29 Mar 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Netflix: Leading The Streaming Race With Profitability And Global Reach

Mar 21

Netflix: Valuation Looks Better Than You Think

Mar 09

Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) Is Investing Its Capital With Increasing Efficiency

Mar 01
Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) Is Investing Its Capital With Increasing Efficiency

Netflix: More Pain In Store For Bullish Converts

Feb 27

Netflix Is Stronger Than Ever; Here's Why It Still Has Room To Run

Feb 15

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Netflix, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NFLX) 26% Share Price Surge

Feb 14
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Netflix, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NFLX) 26% Share Price Surge

Calculating The Fair Value Of Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX)

Feb 09
Calculating The Fair Value Of Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX)

Netflix: Leaving The Competition In The Dust

Feb 07
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Narrative update from Richard Bowman

Feb 04Record quarterly new subscriber addition of 18.9 million (+15.9%)

Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) Released Earnings Last Week And Analysts Lifted Their Price Target To US$1,064

Jan 29
Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) Released Earnings Last Week And Analysts Lifted Their Price Target To US$1,064

Netflix: Investments In New Ventures Paying Off

Jan 25

Netflix Is A Buy Ahead Of Q4 Earnings (Rating Upgrade)

Jan 20

Netflix: A Show Of Success, But Wait For The Dip

Jan 13

Netflix's Big 2024 Pivot May Be On The Verge Of Paying Off

Dec 13

Should You Be Adding Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) To Your Watchlist Today?

Dec 13
Should You Be Adding Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) To Your Watchlist Today?

Why We're Not Concerned About Netflix, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NFLX) Share Price

Dec 01
Why We're Not Concerned About Netflix, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NFLX) Share Price
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Narrative update from Michael Paige

Nov 29Continued Solid Member and Revenue Growth, Plus Cost Controls - Upgrading my Valuation. Overall, Netflix had another solid quarter, and is tracking slightly ahead of my estimates. Revenue growth, memb

Netflix: Why I Am Taking Triple-Digit Profits (Rating Downgrade)

Nov 18
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Narrative update from Richard Bowman

Nov 05Advertising Is Starting To Gain Traction, But There May Be A Lag Before It Translates To Cash Flow.Netflix has managed to keep the momentum going for yet another quarter. Subscriptions and revenue wer

The Ad Advantage: How Netflix's New Strategy Positions It As A Buy

Nov 05

Returns on Capital Paint A Bright Future For Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX)

Nov 02
Returns on Capital Paint A Bright Future For Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX)

Netflix: Promising Growth Story With Solid Financial Performance, But Overbought Right Now

Oct 24

Netflix, Inc. Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Oct 21
Netflix, Inc. Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
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Expanding Content And Innovative Engagement Fuels Dynamic Growth Ahead

Oct 20 Netflix's focus on original content, games, and live events aims to enhance engagement and diversify revenue beyond streaming.

Netflix Q3: Launch Of In-House Advertising Platform By FY 2025 Bodes Well

Oct 18

Netflix: Hidden Assets And Valuation Could Lead To Additional Upside

Oct 11

Netflix: Deep Dive Into Engagement Numbers

Sep 27

Netflix Looks Ready To Move Higher (Technical Analysis)

Sep 21
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Narrative update from Richard Bowman

Sep 19Growth Initiatives Continue to Pay Off for NetflixNetflix reported yet another very strong quarter, as subscriber growth continues to surprise on the upside.Subscriber growth increased by 8 million, w
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Narrative update from Michael Paige

Sep 17Revenue and Member Growth Faster Anticipated.Overall, Netflix had another solid quarter, and is tracking slightly ahead of my estimates. Revenue growth, member growth and margins are tracking better t

These 4 Measures Indicate That Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) Is Using Debt Safely

Sep 07
These 4 Measures Indicate That Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) Is Using Debt Safely

Netflix Stock Hits A New All-Time High, Can The Rally Keep Going?

Aug 22

Netflix's Telecom Alliances: A Game-Changer For Global Market Penetration

Aug 12

Netflix: Strong Q2 Results Do Not Make For A Strong Prospect

Aug 05

Netflix Is An Overvalued Streaming Company

Jul 28

Earnings Summary: Will Netflix Ever Lose The Narrow / No Moat Status?

Jul 22

Earnings Update: Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) Just Reported Its Second-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Forecasts

Jul 20
Earnings Update: Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) Just Reported Its Second-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Forecasts

Netflix: The Winner Of Streaming War 1.0 Goes All-In On Ads

Jul 15

Why We're Not Concerned About Netflix, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NFLX) Share Price

Jul 11
Why We're Not Concerned About Netflix, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:NFLX) Share Price

Netflix: Ultimate Experience Company

Jul 07

Netflix: Engagement For The Win - Reiterating Buy

Jul 01

Is There Now An Opportunity In Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX)?

Jun 26
Is There Now An Opportunity In Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX)?

Netflix May Be Next For Splitsville

Jun 24

We Like Netflix's (NASDAQ:NFLX) Returns And Here's How They're Trending

Jun 14
We Like Netflix's (NASDAQ:NFLX) Returns And Here's How They're Trending

Netflix Added To Model Portfolio As Investors Buy On Weakness (Technical Analysis)

Jun 05

Do Netflix's (NASDAQ:NFLX) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

Jun 02
Do Netflix's (NASDAQ:NFLX) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

Netflix Has Become Too Pricey

May 30

Is Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) Using Too Much Debt?

May 21
Is Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) Using Too Much Debt?

Heavyweight Showdown Looms As Netflix Muscles In On This Bull Run (Technical Analysis)

May 21

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:NFLX - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202754,96615,18413,61614,20729
12/31/202649,66312,92611,35511,99844
12/31/202544,33210,7508,6559,49945
12/31/202439,0018,7126,9227,361N/A
9/30/202437,5877,7817,1257,487N/A
6/30/202436,3047,0956,8197,159N/A
3/31/202434,9326,4356,9467,308N/A
12/31/202333,7235,4086,9267,274N/A
9/30/202332,7434,5255,6776,055N/A
6/30/202332,1264,2464,2604,620N/A
3/31/202331,9094,2002,9343,282N/A
12/31/202231,6164,4921,6192,026N/A
9/30/202231,4735,0447171,179N/A
6/30/202231,0315,095160705N/A
3/31/202230,4025,007-27538N/A
12/31/202129,6985,116-132393N/A
9/30/202128,6335,051151658N/A
6/30/202127,5854,3921,3901,840N/A
3/31/202126,3923,7592,4642,944N/A
12/31/202024,9962,7611,9292,427N/A
9/30/202023,8192,8066451,103N/A
6/30/202022,6282,681-1,056-663N/A
3/31/202021,4032,232-2,538-2,248N/A
12/31/201920,1561,867-3,140-2,887N/A
9/30/201918,8761,414-2,845-2,660N/A
6/30/201917,6301,151-3,035-2,849N/A
3/31/201916,6141,265-3,010-2,824N/A
12/31/201815,7941,211-2,854-2,680N/A
9/30/201814,8931,263N/A-1,933N/A
6/30/201813,879990N/A-1,663N/A
3/31/201812,757671N/A-1,679N/A
12/31/201711,693559N/A-1,786N/A
9/30/201710,884440N/A-1,855N/A
6/30/201710,190362N/A-1,897N/A
3/31/20179,510337N/A-1,589N/A
12/31/20168,831187N/A-1,474N/A
9/30/20168,176163N/A-1,162N/A
6/30/20167,625141N/A-896N/A
3/31/20167,164127N/A-851N/A
12/31/20156,780123N/A-749N/A
9/30/20156,441163N/A-543N/A
6/30/20156,112193N/A-385N/A
3/31/20155,808237N/A-147N/A
12/31/20145,505267N/A16N/A
9/30/20145,195232N/A96N/A
6/30/20144,892204N/A169N/A
3/31/20144,621163N/A146N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: NFLX's forecast earnings growth (15.4% per year) is above the savings rate (2.8%).

Earnings vs Market: NFLX's earnings (15.4% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (13.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: NFLX's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: NFLX's revenue (10.3% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (8.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: NFLX's revenue (10.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: NFLX's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (38.2%)


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/03/30 21:07
End of Day Share Price 2025/03/28 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Netflix, Inc. is covered by 99 analysts. 45 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Hannah KleivenArete Research Services LLP
Andrew Charles BealeArete Research Services LLP
Joseph BonnerArgus Research Company