Motorcar Parts of America Future Growth
Future criteria checks 3/6
Motorcar Parts of America is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 55.6% and 5.6% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 56.7% per annum.
Key information
55.6%
Earnings growth rate
56.73%
EPS growth rate
| Auto Components earnings growth | 31.9% |
| Revenue growth rate | 5.6% |
| Future return on equity | n/a |
| Analyst coverage | Low |
| Last updated | 06 Mar 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Analysis Article • Feb 12
Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. Just Reported A Surprise Profit And Analysts Updated Their Estimates
One of the biggest stories of last week was how Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MPAA ) shares plunged 24% in...Analysis Article • Aug 14
Results: Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Lifted This Year's Outlook
NasdaqGS:MPAA 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Motorcar Parts of America's Fair Values from the Community and...Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 05
Motorcar Parts of America: Trading At Fair Value While Eyeing Profitability Growth
Summary Motorcar Parts of America (MPAA) is rated hold, trading at fair value with a forward EV/Sales of 0.57x and steady FY 2026 revenue guidance. I expect business acceleration into fiscal Q4 2026 and FY 2027, driven by heightened ordering activity and cost efficiencies from Mexican operations. Gross margin recovery hinges on sales rebound and ongoing cost reductions; risks include customer concentration and potential USMCA tariff changes. MPAA is deleveraging, increasing liquidity, and exploring monetization of non-core EV Emulator assets, with further share repurchases planned for FY 2027. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Feb 12
Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. Just Reported A Surprise Profit And Analysts Updated Their Estimates
One of the biggest stories of last week was how Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MPAA ) shares plunged 24% in...
Narrative Update • Feb 11
MPAA: Buyback Expansion Will Drive Future Upside Despite Elevated P/E
Analysts have maintained their $20.00 price target for Motorcar Parts of America, citing updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E ratio as the basis for keeping this target unchanged. What's in the News Motorcar Parts of America issued earnings guidance for fiscal 2026, with sales expected between $750 million and $760 million, reflecting reduced ordering from a large customer tied to store closures and distribution center consolidation (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Jan 27
MPAA: Expanded Buyback Authorization Will Support Future Upside Despite Rich P/E
Analysts kept their fair value estimate for Motorcar Parts of America steady at US$20.00, with only minor adjustments to inputs such as the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. This indicates that their overall view on the stock's valuation is essentially unchanged.Narrative Update • Jan 09
MPAA: Expanded Buybacks Will Support Future Upside Despite Rich Earnings Multiple
Analysts have modestly refined their price target framework for Motorcar Parts of America, keeping fair value around $20.00 while adjusting inputs such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and assumed future P/E to better align with their latest assumptions. What's in the News On December 8, 2025, Motorcar Parts of America expanded its equity buyback authorization by an additional $20 million, bringing the total plan authorization to $57 million (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Dec 24
MPAA: Expanded Buybacks Will Drive Future Upside Despite Margin Headwinds
Narrative Update on Motorcar Parts of America Analysts have modestly revised their price target for Motorcar Parts of America to $20.00, reflecting slightly higher growth expectations, but a sharply lower projected profit margin that tempers valuation assumptions. What's in the News Expanded share repurchase authorization by an additional $20 million on December 8, 2025, bringing the total equity buyback program to $57 million (company announcement) Repurchased 90,114 shares between July 1 and September 30, 2025, for $1.39 million, lifting cumulative buybacks under the June 14, 2016 authorization to 1,667,051 shares, or 8.67% of outstanding shares, at a total cost of $26.93 million (company filing) Valuation Changes Fair Value: Unchanged at $20.00 per share, indicating no revision to the long term intrinsic value estimate.Narrative Update • Dec 10
MPAA: Share Repurchases Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged their price target for Motorcar Parts of America slightly higher, now valuing the shares at approximately $20.00, reflecting modestly improved long term growth and profitability assumptions, despite largely unchanged core forecasts. What's in the News Completed a long running share repurchase program, buying back a total of 1,667,051 shares (about 8.67% of outstanding stock) for approximately $26.93 million under the authorization announced in June 2016 (company buyback update) During the most recent tranche from July 1, 2025 to September 30, 2025, repurchased 90,114 shares (roughly 0.47% of shares outstanding) for about $1.39 million (company buyback update) Valuation Changes Fair Value: Unchanged at approximately $20.00 per share, indicating stable long term intrinsic value assumptions.Analysis Article • Dec 03
Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. (NASDAQ:MPAA) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 26% Price Plummet
Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MPAA ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a...Narrative Update • Nov 26
MPAA: Share Repurchases And Lower Discount Rate Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have revised their price target for Motorcar Parts of America slightly upward, increasing it from $20.00 to $20.00. They cite stable revenue growth expectations and updated market discount rates as key factors in their assessment.Analysis Article • Nov 17
The Strong Earnings Posted By Motorcar Parts of America (NASDAQ:MPAA) Are A Good Indication Of The Strength Of The Business
Investors were underwhelmed by the solid earnings posted by Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MPAA ) recently...Narrative Update • Nov 12
MPAA: Future Earnings Multiple Expansion Will Drive Share Price Higher
Analysts have raised their price target for Motorcar Parts of America from $18.00 to $20.00. This reflects an updated outlook that incorporates changes to key valuation inputs such as a higher discount rate and future price-to-earnings expectations, despite slightly lower projected revenue growth and profit margins.Analysis Article • Sep 03
Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. (NASDAQ:MPAA) Stock Rockets 43% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected
Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MPAA ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 43% after a shaky...Narrative Update • Aug 15
Rising Vehicle Longevity And Remanufacturing Will Expand Market Opportunities
Owing to stable outlooks for both revenue growth (6.2% per annum) and future P/E (8.64x), analyst sentiment remains unchanged with the consensus price target holding steady at $18.00. What's in the News Motorcar Parts of America raised fiscal 2026 sales guidance to $800–$820 million and reaffirmed operating income guidance of $86–$91 million, citing strong year-to-date performance, tariff passthroughs, and cost mitigation.Analysis Article • Aug 14
Results: Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Lifted This Year's Outlook
NasdaqGS:MPAA 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Motorcar Parts of America's Fair Values from the Community and...Analysis Article • Jul 01
Motorcar Parts of America (NASDAQ:MPAA) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analysis Article • May 21
After Leaping 28% Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. (NASDAQ:MPAA) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar
Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MPAA ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a...Analysis Article • May 14
Returns Are Gaining Momentum At Motorcar Parts of America (NASDAQ:MPAA)
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...
New Narrative • Apr 04
Brake Initiatives And Production Efficiency Will Secure Future Success
Growth in brake-related products, improved production efficiency, and reduced foreign exchange expenses are expected to boost revenue and profitability.Analysis Article • Mar 06
There's Reason For Concern Over Motorcar Parts of America, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MPAA) Massive 61% Price Jump
Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MPAA ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a...Analysis Article • Feb 05
Here's Why Motorcar Parts of America (NASDAQ:MPAA) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • Jan 11
We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Motorcar Parts of America (NASDAQ:MPAA)
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...Analysis Article • Nov 26
Revenues Not Telling The Story For Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. (NASDAQ:MPAA) After Shares Rise 25%
Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MPAA ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a...Seeking Alpha • Oct 19
Motorcar Parts of America On A Bumpy Ride, Investors May Want To Steer Clear
Summary Motorcar Parts of America has expanded its product range and operations but continues to struggle with long-standing financial issues and poor stock performance. Despite global expansion and diversified offerings, MPAA's stock has plummeted over 83% since 2016, with no dividends to soften the blow. Recent financials show some growth, but ongoing earnings decline, market sentiment, and industry pressures make MPAA a risky investment. Given the consistent underperformance and lack of clear recovery signs, I rate MPAA a "Sell" and recommend exploring more stable investment options. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Oct 09
There Is A Reason Motorcar Parts of America, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MPAA) Price Is Undemanding
You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MPAA ) is a...Analysis Article • Jul 14
Motorcar Parts of America (NASDAQ:MPAA) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share Price
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...Seeking Alpha • Jun 20
Motorcar Parts of America: Pressure On Net Sales And Market Outlook Uncertain
Summary Motorcar Parts of America has seen downward pressure in net sales in the most recent quarter. In my view, the outlook for the aftermarket parts market remains uncertain. I rate Motorcar Parts Of America as a hold at this time. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jun 08
The Bottom Fishing Club: Motorcar Parts Of America, Recession-Like Deep Value
Summary The Motorcar Parts of America stock quote has declined significantly due to increased debt/interest expense, plus fears of recession. Enterprise valuations are now very low and the same as experienced during past recessions and business cycle bottoms. A double in share pricing to $10 is possible either through a swing back toward normalized investment valuations or a takeover/take private offer. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • May 11
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Motorcar Parts of America, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MPAA) Low P/S
You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MPAA ) is a...Seeking Alpha • Apr 23
Motorcar Parts Of America: Higher Rates Detracting From Improving Fundamentals
Summary Motorcar Parts of America's business fundamentals have been improving due to demand tailwinds related to an aging vehicle fleet and an increase in miles driven per vehicle. Despite these tailwinds, higher interest rates have put downward pressure on earnings due to MPA's accounts receivable discount program. I believe this is creating an opportunity for investors to take advantage of short-term worries to purchase the stock at a low valuation with attractive upside. I see a credible case for the stock to reach $8.25 based on EBITDA of $72mm in FY2025, a 5x multiple and $200mm of net debt. This is supported by positive industry fundamentals as confirmed by earnings from Genuine Parts Company, and by past private equity transactions involving industry peers. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Mar 20
Does Motorcar Parts of America (NASDAQ:MPAA) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • Dec 16
Motorcar Parts of America's (NASDAQ:MPAA) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Typically, we'll...Analysis Article • Oct 19
Motorcar Parts of America (NASDAQ:MPAA) Has No Shortage Of Debt
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analysis Article • Jul 19
Is Motorcar Parts of America (NASDAQ:MPAA) A Risky Investment?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/31/2029 | 915 | 28 | 51 | 38 | 1 |
| 3/31/2028 | 857 | 23 | 44 | 31 | 2 |
| 3/31/2027 | 810 | 14 | 39 | 28 | 3 |
| 3/31/2026 | 754 | 6 | 27 | 35 | 3 |
| 12/31/2025 | 771 | 2 | 28 | 33 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 789 | 2 | 70 | 75 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 776 | 2 | 71 | 76 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 757 | -19 | 41 | 45 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 754 | -17 | 25 | 27 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 739 | -67 | 44 | 46 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 728 | -66 | 37 | 39 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 718 | -49 | 38 | 39 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 723 | -49 | 47 | 48 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 703 | -1 | -12 | -10 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 679 | -5 | -44 | -41 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 683 | -4 | -26 | -22 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 652 | -6 | -50 | -44 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 662 | -4 | -44 | -37 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 665 | 6 | -48 | -41 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 650 | 7 | -52 | -45 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 655 | 9 | -46 | -39 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 615 | 14 | -18 | -8 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 594 | 25 | 16 | 29 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 541 | 21 | 42 | 56 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 523 | 12 | 80 | 96 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 526 | 5 | 71 | 85 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 522 | -4 | 46 | 60 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 536 | -7 | 5 | 19 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 514 | -2 | -38 | -24 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 513 | -6 | N/A | -61 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 490 | -9 | N/A | -58 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 473 | -8 | N/A | -40 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 463 | 3 | N/A | -24 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 442 | 4 | N/A | -12 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 424 | 6 | N/A | -14 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 428 | 19 | N/A | -14 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 422 | 21 | N/A | 6 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 432 | 34 | N/A | 9 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 431 | 38 | N/A | 8 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 422 | 39 | N/A | -5 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 404 | 30 | N/A | -15 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 386 | 27 | N/A | -26 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 369 | 16 | N/A | -2 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 369 | 11 | N/A | 15 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 355 | 11 | N/A | -2 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 345 | 7 | N/A | -3 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 325 | 9 | N/A | -9 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: MPAA's forecast earnings growth (55.6% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: MPAA's earnings (55.6% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (17.2% per year).
High Growth Earnings: MPAA's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: MPAA's revenue (5.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (12.1% per year).
High Growth Revenue: MPAA's revenue (5.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if MPAA's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/03 21:55 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/03 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/03/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. is covered by 7 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Sarkis Sherbetchyan | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |
| Derek Soderberg | Cantor Fitzgerald & Co. |
| Steven Dyer | Craig-Hallum Capital Group LLC |