Canadian Utilities Valuation

Is CU undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CU when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CU (CA$34.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$317.65)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CU is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CU?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

CU key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue5.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA12.5x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CU's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CU vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average40.5x
AQN Algonquin Power & Utilities
37.4x62.2%CA$5.7b
ACO.X ATCO
13.2xn/aCA$5.1b
ALA AltaGas
22.7x20.1%CA$10.2b
NPI Northland Power
88.7x14.4%CA$5.8b
CU Canadian Utilities
17.4xn/aCA$9.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.4x) compared to the peer average (40.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CU's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Integrated Utilities Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CU is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.4x) compared to the Global Integrated Utilities industry average (16.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CU's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CU PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CU's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CU forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$34.50
CA$36.20
+4.9%
2.1%CA$37.00CA$35.00n/a5
Sep ’25CA$34.00
CA$35.90
+5.6%
1.8%CA$37.00CA$35.00n/a5
Aug ’25CA$32.84
CA$34.50
+5.1%
3.2%CA$36.00CA$33.00n/a5
Jul ’25CA$29.55
CA$34.50
+16.8%
3.2%CA$36.00CA$33.00n/a5
Jun ’25CA$31.08
CA$34.58
+11.3%
2.9%CA$36.00CA$33.00n/a6
May ’25CA$30.43
CA$34.33
+12.8%
3.2%CA$36.00CA$33.00n/a6
Apr ’25CA$30.37
CA$34.83
+14.7%
2.6%CA$36.00CA$33.00n/a6
Mar ’25CA$30.99
CA$34.83
+12.4%
2.6%CA$36.00CA$33.00n/a6
Feb ’25CA$31.00
CA$34.83
+12.4%
2.6%CA$36.00CA$33.00n/a6
Jan ’25CA$31.89
CA$35.36
+10.9%
4.3%CA$38.50CA$33.00n/a7
Dec ’24CA$30.82
CA$35.36
+14.7%
4.3%CA$38.50CA$33.00n/a7
Nov ’24CA$29.62
CA$35.36
+19.4%
4.3%CA$38.50CA$33.00n/a7
Oct ’24CA$28.70
CA$36.93
+28.7%
2.1%CA$38.50CA$36.00n/a7
Sep ’24CA$32.28
CA$38.13
+18.1%
3.5%CA$40.00CA$36.00CA$34.008
Aug ’24CA$32.40
CA$38.31
+18.2%
3.9%CA$40.00CA$36.00CA$32.848
Jul ’24CA$34.31
CA$39.93
+16.4%
4.4%CA$43.00CA$37.00CA$29.557
Jun ’24CA$36.20
CA$39.78
+9.9%
4.0%CA$43.00CA$37.00CA$31.089
May ’24CA$39.34
CA$39.78
+1.1%
4.0%CA$43.00CA$37.00CA$30.439
Apr ’24CA$37.66
CA$39.33
+4.4%
4.6%CA$43.00CA$37.00CA$30.379
Mar ’24CA$34.96
CA$38.50
+10.1%
8.9%CA$43.00CA$30.00CA$30.999
Feb ’24CA$36.47
CA$38.19
+4.7%
9.2%CA$43.00CA$30.00CA$31.008
Jan ’24CA$36.65
CA$37.44
+2.1%
9.8%CA$43.00CA$30.00CA$31.898
Dec ’23CA$36.61
CA$37.44
+2.3%
9.8%CA$43.00CA$30.00CA$30.828
Nov ’23CA$35.89
CA$37.69
+5.0%
8.4%CA$43.00CA$32.00CA$29.628
Oct ’23CA$35.93
CA$39.44
+9.8%
7.9%CA$42.00CA$32.00CA$28.708
Sep ’23CA$40.43
CA$40.64
+0.5%
3.0%CA$42.00CA$39.00CA$32.287

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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