West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd.

TSX:WFG Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$7.7b

West Fraser Timber Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

West Fraser Timber is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 68.6% and 6.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 72% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.8% in 3 years.

Key information

68.6%

Earnings growth rate

71.97%

EPS growth rate

Forestry earnings growth51.1%
Revenue growth rate6.7%
Future return on equity9.85%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated15 Jun 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • Jun 24

WFG: Break Above 70 And Cyclical Recovery Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have reduced their price target on West Fraser Timber by CA$2, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rates and valuation multiples, while keeping revenue growth and profit margin expectations broadly in line with prior views. Analyst Commentary Recent research on West Fraser Timber points to a more cautious stance on the stock, with several price target cuts and at least one downgrade.
Analysis Article • Jun 18

West Fraser Timber (TSX:WFG) Stock Could Be 5.5% Undervalued After Dividend And Breakout

Dividend affirmation and technical breakout draw fresh attention West Fraser Timber (TSX:WFG) has caught investor attention after a declared quarterly dividend of US$0.32 per share and a recent technical breakout above resistance, together pointing to shifting sentiment toward the stock. The dividend, payable on July 13, 2026 to shareholders of record on June 25, 2026, offers investors a defined cash return schedule. The chart move has highlighted West Fraser Timber shares for traders...
Narrative Update • Jun 06

WFG: Sustainability Progress And Fibre Security Will Support Future Share Price Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target on West Fraser Timber by about CA$1 to CA$105. This reflects slightly different assumptions on fair value, discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples following recent research updates from several firms.
Narrative Update • Apr 23

WFG: New Buyback Authorization Will Support Future Share Price Upside

Analysts have reduced their average price target on West Fraser Timber by about CA$2.48, citing recent downgrades and target cuts that reflect slightly higher discount rates and marginally lower assumed future P/E multiples in their models. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on West Fraser Timber has focused on recalibrating expectations, with commentators updating models to reflect higher discount rates and slightly lower assumed future P/E multiples.
Narrative Update • Apr 09

WFG: Rating Upgrade And New Buyback Plan Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have raised their price target on West Fraser Timber, supported by a higher CA$ fair value estimate based on slightly adjusted assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more constructive stance on West Fraser Timber, reflected in an upgraded rating and a higher fair value estimate that feeds directly into the revised price target.
Narrative Update • Mar 26

WFG: Upgrade And Buyback Plan Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have adjusted their assumptions on the discount rate, long term revenue growth, margin profile and future P/E for West Fraser Timber, leading to a refreshed price target of about CA$108.74, which you can use as a reference point for your own valuation work. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the recent upgrade as a signal that execution expectations have improved, which supports the refreshed price target of about CA$108.74 as a reasonable reference point for your own models.
Narrative Update • Mar 09

WFG: Upgraded Outlook And Impairment Test Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their price target on West Fraser Timber to about CA$109 from roughly CA$110. This reflects slightly more cautious assumptions on fair value, revenue growth and profit margins, partly offset by a modestly higher expected future P/E multiple following the recent upgrade in Street research coverage.
Narrative Update • Feb 23

WFG: Impairment Charge And Upgraded Outlook Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have lifted their price target on West Fraser Timber from about CA$107.92 to roughly CA$110.49, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, a slightly lower discount rate, and recent positive research attention on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research attention on West Fraser Timber has focused on how updated assumptions feed into the company’s valuation, with some analysts taking a more constructive view on the risk and reward profile.
Narrative Update • Feb 09

WFG: Impairment And Upgraded Expectations Will Shape Future Earnings Resilience

Analysts have raised their price target on West Fraser Timber to US$107.92 from US$103.73, citing updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts link the higher US$107.92 price target to updated assumptions around revenue growth and profit margins, which they view as better aligned with the company’s current execution.
Narrative Update • Jan 26

WFG: Mill Closures And Impairment Will Shape Future Earnings Resilience

Narrative Update: West Fraser Timber Analysts have nudged their price target for West Fraser Timber higher to reflect modest tweaks to the discount rate and long term assumptions, while keeping fair value broadly aligned with updated expectations for a slightly richer future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around West Fraser Timber has been relatively limited in detail, but the latest upgrade suggests shifting sentiment among some coverage.
Narrative Update • Jan 12

WFG: Mill Closures And Buybacks Will Support Future Margin Resilience

Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for West Fraser Timber at approximately $104. The updated price target reflects a slightly higher discount rate and marginally lower assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E.
Narrative Update • Dec 23

WFG: Mill Closures And Buybacks Will Drive Stronger Margins Ahead

Analysts have modestly reduced their price target on West Fraser Timber, trimming fair value expectations by about $9 per share as slightly softer revenue growth and valuation assumptions more than offset a small improvement in projected profit margins. Analyst Commentary Analyst sentiment on West Fraser Timber remains mixed, with recent target cuts driven more by valuation discipline than a sharp change in the fundamental outlook.
Narrative Update • Dec 09

WFG: Mill Closures And Buybacks Will Support Stronger Margins Ahead

Analysts have reduced their price target on West Fraser Timber by C$3 to C$119, citing a modestly higher discount rate and slightly richer forward valuation assumptions, while maintaining a positive long term outlook on earnings growth and margins. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary on West Fraser Timber reflects a generally constructive stance on the company, even as some expectations are tempered to reflect a more balanced risk reward profile.
Narrative Update • Nov 25

WFG: Operational Shifts And Buybacks Will Drive Medium-Term Performance

Analysts have trimmed their price target for West Fraser Timber to C$119 from C$122, citing reassessments of future earnings expectations and valuation considerations. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates highlight both optimism and caution surrounding West Fraser Timber's outlook, particularly as it relates to the company’s valuation, expected earnings performance, and market positioning.
Narrative Update • Nov 06

WFG: Operational Strength And Buybacks Will Support Resilient Margin Performance

West Fraser Timber's analyst price target was lowered from C$122 to C$119. This reflects a modest shift as analysts cite updated margin expectations and slight adjustments to valuation assumptions.
Narrative Update • Oct 23

Analysts Adjust West Fraser Timber Price Targets Amid Earnings Concerns and Updated Valuation Metrics

Analysts have lowered their price target for West Fraser Timber, citing a reduction from C$122 to C$119 and from $98 to $96. This adjustment comes as a response to recent earnings quality concerns, despite the company’s resilient sector position.
Analysis Article • Sep 27

Is West Fraser Timber (TSE:WFG) Using Too Much Debt?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analysis Article • Aug 31

Estimating The Fair Value Of West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. (TSE:WFG)

Key Insights West Fraser Timber's estimated fair value is CA$113 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current...
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New Narrative • May 09

Improved SPF Demand And Operating Efficiencies Will Drive Future Progress

Improved SPF demand and pricing boost lumber segment performance, enhancing revenues and net margins.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSX:WFG - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20286,523593N/A1,2371
12/31/20276,2902253246986
12/31/20265,684-243684136
4/3/20265,337-1,167-4001N/A
12/31/20255,462-937-31596N/A
9/26/20255,702-24812441N/A
6/27/20255,832-12688533N/A
3/28/20256,0062158627N/A
12/31/20246,174-5174661N/A
9/27/20246,283-9696584N/A
6/28/20246,551145294790N/A
3/29/20246,454-90182682N/A
12/31/20236,454-16748525N/A
9/29/20236,556-107107576N/A
6/30/20236,939-50152653N/A
3/31/20238,2188439631,446N/A
12/31/20229,7011,9751,7302,207N/A
9/30/202210,1232,4021,6212,350N/A
6/30/202210,3932,6462,1432,831N/A
3/31/202211,2853,3722,9873,653N/A
12/31/202110,5182,9472,9173,552N/A
9/30/20219,7742,8953,2593,538N/A
6/30/20218,6842,6972,8693,089N/A
3/31/20215,8261,2441,3241,521N/A
12/31/20204,373588788968N/A
9/30/20203,926274522722N/A
6/30/20203,516-2092342N/A
3/31/20203,455-93N/A151N/A
12/31/20193,756-116N/A89N/A
9/30/20193,791-60N/A66N/A
6/30/20194,183156N/A283N/A
3/31/20194,486455N/A552N/A
12/31/20184,482593N/A666N/A
9/30/20184,815765N/A892N/A
6/30/20184,428662N/A797N/A
3/31/20184,116519N/A682N/A
12/31/20174,084474N/A717N/A
9/30/20173,899375N/A664N/A
6/30/20173,681351N/A604N/A
3/31/20173,430306N/A510N/A
12/31/20163,314243N/A513N/A
9/30/20163,321177N/A365N/A
6/30/20163,270139N/A246N/A
3/31/20163,21075N/A179N/A
12/31/20152,95575N/A217N/A
9/30/20153,024121N/A276N/A
6/30/20153,236141N/A415N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: WFG is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3%).

Earnings vs Market: WFG is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: WFG is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: WFG's revenue (6.7% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market (4.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: WFG's revenue (6.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: WFG's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.8%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/28 02:11
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/26 00:00
Earnings2026/04/03
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. is covered by 13 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ketan MamtoraBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Hamir PatelCIBC Capital Markets
Pierre LacroixDesjardins Securities Inc.