Couchbase Valuation

Is BASE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BASE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BASE ($17.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($23.32)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BASE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BASE?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

BASE key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-9x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does BASE's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for BASE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.3x
FSLY Fastly
2.1x7.6%US$1.1b
VNET VNET Group
0.8x10.4%US$971.8m
BIGC BigCommerce Holdings
1.4x7.6%US$410.5m
KC Kingsoft Cloud Holdings
0.9x9.7%US$762.6m
BASE Couchbase
4.6x14.4%US$858.1m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: BASE is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.6x) compared to the peer average (1.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BASE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US IT Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: BASE is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.6x) compared to the US IT industry average (2.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BASE's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BASE PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio4.6x
Fair PS Ratio4.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: BASE is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BASE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$17.80
US$23.14
+30.0%
15.5%US$30.00US$17.00n/a14
Oct ’25US$15.05
US$23.14
+53.8%
15.5%US$30.00US$17.00n/a14
Sep ’25US$19.62
US$25.57
+30.3%
15.8%US$32.00US$18.00n/a14
Aug ’25US$17.95
US$26.85
+49.6%
14.5%US$32.00US$18.00n/a13
Jul ’25US$17.80
US$27.23
+53.0%
14.4%US$32.00US$18.00n/a13
Jun ’25US$22.67
US$32.75
+44.5%
9.2%US$37.00US$26.00n/a12
May ’25US$24.22
US$32.91
+35.9%
9.4%US$37.00US$26.00n/a11
Apr ’25US$26.16
US$32.91
+25.8%
9.4%US$37.00US$26.00n/a11
Mar ’25US$28.76
US$25.82
-10.2%
12.2%US$32.00US$20.00n/a11
Feb ’25US$26.18
US$25.27
-3.5%
9.9%US$29.00US$20.00n/a11
Jan ’25US$22.52
US$24.60
+9.2%
9.5%US$28.00US$20.00n/a10
Dec ’24US$20.17
US$21.30
+5.6%
11.9%US$25.00US$16.00n/a10
Nov ’24US$14.78
US$21.20
+43.4%
12.1%US$25.00US$16.00US$16.2510
Oct ’24US$17.16
US$21.20
+23.5%
12.1%US$25.00US$16.00US$15.0510
Sep ’24US$17.04
US$21.10
+23.8%
12.6%US$25.00US$16.00US$19.6210
Aug ’24US$16.57
US$21.40
+29.1%
12.6%US$25.00US$16.00US$17.9510
Jul ’24US$15.82
US$21.40
+35.3%
12.6%US$25.00US$16.00US$17.8010
Jun ’24US$20.27
US$19.20
-5.3%
8.3%US$22.00US$16.00US$22.6710
May ’24US$14.92
US$19.20
+28.7%
8.3%US$22.00US$16.00US$24.2210
Apr ’24US$14.06
US$19.20
+36.6%
8.3%US$22.00US$16.00US$26.1610
Mar ’24US$15.55
US$18.40
+18.3%
8.1%US$21.00US$16.00US$28.7610
Feb ’24US$15.65
US$18.10
+15.7%
9.1%US$21.00US$16.00US$26.1810
Jan ’24US$13.26
US$18.22
+37.4%
7.7%US$21.00US$16.00US$22.529
Dec ’23US$14.30
US$20.00
+39.9%
8.3%US$22.00US$17.00US$20.178
Nov ’23US$12.82
US$20.50
+59.9%
4.9%US$22.00US$19.00US$14.788

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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