Forestar Group (FOR) Stock Overview
Operates as a residential lot development company in the United States. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 3/6 |
| Future Growth | 0/6 |
| Past Performance | 3/6 |
| Financial Health | 5/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
FOR Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 13 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Forestar Group Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$28.77 |
| 52 Week High | US$32.06 |
| 52 Week Low | US$22.81 |
| Beta | 1.39 |
| 1 Month Change | -9.10% |
| 3 Month Change | 4.62% |
| 1 Year Change | 16.01% |
| 3 Year Change | -5.86% |
| 5 Year Change | 37.46% |
| Change since IPO | 25.09% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • Jul 17
FOR: Steady Fair Value Will Reflect 2026 Revenue And Lot Delivery Plans
Analysts have raised their price target on Forestar Group from $26.00 to $33.00, citing updated assumptions related to discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. What’s in the News for Forestar Group Forestar Group maintained its revenue guidance for fiscal 2026, with the company expecting revenue of $1.6b to $1.7b.
Narrative Update • Jul 03
FOR: Lower Growth Assumptions And Higher Future P/E Will Support Upside
Analysts now see Forestar Group’s fair value at $35.00, compared with the prior $38.00. This reflects updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple.Seeking Alpha • Jun 26
Forestar: Below Book Value, But Not A Buy Yet
Summary Forestar Group Inc. trades at a discount to book value, but lot sales are lagging, making current valuation fair rather than compelling. FOR's revenue growth in Q2 2026 was driven by lumpy tract sales, masking underlying weakness in core lot sales, which declined 14% YoY. Management must deliver a significant ramp in lot sales in H2 2026 to meet guidance; execution risk remains high. I rate FOR a Hold, preferring to wait for Q3 confirmation of improved lot turnover or a more attractive entry price. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRecent updates
Narrative Update • Jul 17
FOR: Steady Fair Value Will Reflect 2026 Revenue And Lot Delivery Plans
Analysts have raised their price target on Forestar Group from $26.00 to $33.00, citing updated assumptions related to discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. What’s in the News for Forestar Group Forestar Group maintained its revenue guidance for fiscal 2026, with the company expecting revenue of $1.6b to $1.7b.Narrative Update • Jul 03
FOR: Lower Growth Assumptions And Higher Future P/E Will Support Upside
Analysts now see Forestar Group’s fair value at $35.00, compared with the prior $38.00. This reflects updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple.Seeking Alpha • Jun 26
Forestar: Below Book Value, But Not A Buy Yet
Summary Forestar Group Inc. trades at a discount to book value, but lot sales are lagging, making current valuation fair rather than compelling. FOR's revenue growth in Q2 2026 was driven by lumpy tract sales, masking underlying weakness in core lot sales, which declined 14% YoY. Management must deliver a significant ramp in lot sales in H2 2026 to meet guidance; execution risk remains high. I rate FOR a Hold, preferring to wait for Q3 confirmation of improved lot turnover or a more attractive entry price. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Jun 19
FOR: Steady 2026 Lot Outlook And Risk Inputs Will Shape Returns
Analysts have maintained their $31.33 price target on Forestar Group, with only slight refinements to inputs such as the discount rate and future P/E. This reflects updated views on the stock's risk profile rather than a change in estimated fair value.Narrative Update • Jun 04
FOR: Tighter 2026 Lot Outlook And Higher P/E Assumptions Will Guide Returns
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Forestar Group from $33.00 to about $31.33, citing updates to revenue growth, profit margin, and assumed future P/E levels in their valuation work. What's in the News Forestar Group maintained its fiscal 2026 revenue guidance, with the company still expecting revenue of US$1.6b to US$1.7b.Narrative Update • May 02
FOR: Steady Fair Value Will Reflect 2026 Revenue And Lot Delivery Plans
Analysts have kept their $26.00 price target for Forestar Group unchanged, citing slightly lower discount rate and revenue growth assumptions, along with a small adjustment to profit margin and future P/E expectations that together support a steady valuation view. What's in the News Forestar Group maintained its fiscal 2026 revenue guidance in a range of $1.6b to $1.7b, giving investors a defined revenue expectation for that year (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Apr 17
FOR: Higher Future P/E Assumptions Will Support Long Term Upside Potential
Analysts have maintained their $33.00 price target on Forestar Group, citing a slightly higher assumed P/E multiple along with modest adjustments to discount rate, revenue growth, and profit margin assumptions as they refine their models. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Price target held at $33.00, reflecting no change in the headline valuation level.Narrative Update • Apr 03
FOR: Steady Fair Value Will Balance Higher Risk Assumptions And Future P/E Expectations
Analysts now hold their price target for Forestar Group at $26.00. The latest update reflects slightly adjusted assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E, which keep the headline valuation level unchanged.Narrative Update • Mar 20
FOR: Higher Revenue Assumptions And Stable Margins Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have raised their price target on Forestar Group from $36 to $38, citing updated assumptions that combine a slightly lower discount rate and modestly higher revenue growth expectations with relatively steady profit margin and forward P/E inputs. Valuation Changes Fair Value: updated from $36 to $38, indicating a small upward adjustment in the modeled share value.Narrative Update • Mar 05
FOR: Stable Assumptions And Discount Rate Will Support Long Term Upside Potential
Analysts now see Forestar Group’s fair value holding at $33, with only minor tweaks to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions guiding this steady price target stance. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Steady at $33.0 per share, with no change from the prior estimate.Narrative Update • Feb 19
FOR: Higher Margins And Growth Assumptions Will Mask Future P/E Compression Risk
Analysts have raised their price target on Forestar Group from $25 to $26, reflecting updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E expectations. Valuation Changes Fair Value: The assessed fair value per share has risen slightly from $25 to $26.00.Narrative Update • Feb 05
FOR: Updated Cash Flow Outlook Will Support Stronger Long Term Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Forestar Group to $33.00 from $32.50, citing updated assumptions that include a slightly different revenue growth outlook, a modestly adjusted discount rate, and a small change in projected profit margin and future P/E multiples. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Adjusted slightly to $33.00 from $32.50 per share.Narrative Update • Jan 22
FOR: Higher Profit Margins And 2026 Lot Deliveries Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Forestar Group from $33.00 to $36.00 per share, citing changes in discount rates, more moderate revenue growth assumptions, higher projected profit margins, and a slightly lower future P/E multiple as the main factors behind the revised target. What's in the News Forestar Group issued financial guidance for fiscal 2026, giving you a clearer view of management's current expectations.Narrative Update • Jan 07
FOR: 2026 Lot Deliveries Will Support Stronger Long Term Cash Flow
Analysts have nudged their price target on Forestar Group slightly higher to $32.50, reflecting modestly stronger assumptions around profit margin and a slightly lower future P/E multiple, while keeping their fair value view steady. What's in the News Forestar Group issued financial guidance for fiscal 2026, outlining expected deliveries of 14,000 to 15,000 lots.Narrative Update • Dec 17
FOR: Rising Lot Deliveries Will Drive Profit Margins Amid Moderated Revenue Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target on Forestar Group from 23 dollars to 25 dollars, reflecting expectations for stronger profit margins that more than offset slightly slower projected revenue growth and a modestly higher discount rate. What's in the News Forestar Group issued new fiscal 2026 guidance, projecting delivery of 14,000 to 15,000 lots, signaling continued expansion of its residential lot development pipeline (Key Developments) The company expects fiscal 2026 revenue between 1.6 billion and 1.7 billion dollars, underscoring management confidence in sustained demand from homebuilders (Key Developments) Guidance for higher lot volumes and revenue provides greater visibility into Forestar Group's medium term growth trajectory, which can influence valuation assumptions and investor sentiment (Key Developments) Valuation Changes The Fair Value Target has risen slightly from 23.00 dollars to 25.00 dollars, reflecting modest upside in the intrinsic valuation.Analysis Article • Dec 15
We Think Forestar Group (NYSE:FOR) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Narrative Update • Dec 03
FOR: 2026 Lot Deliveries Will Support Stronger Long Term Cash Flow
Analysts have nudged their price target on Forestar Group slightly higher to align with a fair value estimate of $32.50 per share, citing marginal improvements in discount rate assumptions and steady expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future valuation multiples. What's in the News Issued fiscal 2026 guidance targeting delivery of 14,000 to 15,000 lots, signaling confidence in sustained lot development activity and demand (Key Developments) Projected fiscal 2026 revenue in the range of $1.6 billion to $1.7 billion, indicating expectations for meaningful topline expansion versus current levels (Key Developments) Reaffirmed a forward strategy centered on scaled lot development for homebuilders, highlighting visibility into multi year growth and cash flow generation (Key Developments) Valuation Changes The fair value estimate remains unchanged at $32.50 per share, indicating no reassessment of intrinsic value.Analysis Article • Nov 19
An Intrinsic Calculation For Forestar Group Inc. (NYSE:FOR) Suggests It's 50% Undervalued
Key Insights Forestar Group's estimated fair value is US$46.17 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Forestar...Narrative Update • Nov 19
FOR: Projected 2026 Deliveries Will Drive Stronger Revenue Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target for Forestar Group from $31.25 to $32.50. This change reflects revised expectations for growth and profitability.Narrative Update • Nov 03
FOR: Rising Margins And Strong Lot Deliveries Will Drive Sunbelt Expansion
Analysts have raised their price target for Forestar Group from $29.25 to $31.25, citing improved profit margins even as revenue growth expectations have moderated. What's in the News Forestar Group provided financial guidance for fiscal year 2026.Analysis Article • Aug 07
Forestar Group Inc. (NYSE:FOR) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 25%
NYSE:FOR 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Forestar Group's Fair Values from the Community and select yours...Analysis Article • Apr 28
Investors Aren't Buying Forestar Group Inc.'s (NYSE:FOR) Earnings
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 17x, you may...Seeking Alpha • Mar 31
Forestar Group: Unique Housing Play
Summary Forestar Group Inc.'s shares have dropped over 45% since March 2024 despite meeting fiscal year expectations and having a strong relationship with majority owner D.R. Horton. Forestar's strategy involves acquiring and developing residential lots, primarily supplying them to Horton, with a goal to provide one-third of Horton’s lot needs. Despite a significant miss in 1QFY25 financials, Forestar maintains a positive FY25 revenue outlook and has seen insider buying and a credit rating upgrade. The stock trades at under 70% of book value with a PE on FY25E EPS of 6, an 'Accumulate' rating seems warranted despite a challenged housing sector. An analysis around FOR stock follows in the paragraphs below. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Mar 31
Forestar Group (NYSE:FOR) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Analysis Article • Mar 05
What Does Forestar Group Inc.'s (NYSE:FOR) Share Price Indicate?
Forestar Group Inc. ( NYSE:FOR ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw significant share price movement during...Analysis Article • Jan 16
Do Forestar Group's (NYSE:FOR) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?
For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...Seeking Alpha • Dec 14
Forestar Group: Capitalizing On Lot Supply Constraints And Strong Market Demand
Summary Forestar is poised to benefit from persistent residential housing shortage and a favorable interest rate environment, driving demand for residential lots and land sales. The company has shown impressive growth, with a 22% increase in net income for FY'24, driven by increased lot sales and strategic market expansion. The company’s strong financial position, minimal leverage, and substantial liquidity provide a solid foundation for future growth and shareholder returns. Forestar’s close relationship with D.R. Horton, while a concentration risk, is balanced by efforts to diversify and expand into new markets. With a low valuation of 6.7x 2025 earnings and potential for significant returns, I maintain a 'strong buy' rating on Forestar. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Nov 28
We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Forestar Group's (NYSE:FOR) Earnings
Forestar Group Inc. ( NYSE:FOR ) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. Our analysis suggests that this...Analysis Article • Nov 19
At US$29.34, Is Forestar Group Inc. (NYSE:FOR) Worth Looking At Closely?
Forestar Group Inc. ( NYSE:FOR ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw significant share price movement during...
New Narrative • Nov 03
Strategic Expansion And Affordability Focus Drive Promising Growth Prospects
Strategic land investment and expansion into new markets could drive growth, supported by increased workforce and operational flexibility.Seeking Alpha • Sep 22
Forestar Group: Benefitting From Constraints On Residential Lot Supply
Summary Forestar Group is well-positioned to benefit from persistent residential housing shortage and a favorable interest rate environment, driving demand for residential lots and land sales. The company aims to double its market share to 5% by leveraging its national footprint and strategic relationship with D.R. Horton, but also with other builders too. Forestar's disciplined focus on return on equity and selective project underwriting enhances profitability and minimizes risk, ensuring high-quality developments. Trading at a single-digit P/E ratio, Forestar offers a compelling entry point with significant upside potential and a good margin of safety. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Aug 26
Does Forestar Group (NYSE:FOR) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • Aug 08
Forestar Group Inc.'s (NYSE:FOR) Share Price Is Matching Sentiment Around Its Earnings
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 18x, you may...Analysis Article • Jun 10
Is There Now An Opportunity In Forestar Group Inc. (NYSE:FOR)?
While Forestar Group Inc. ( NYSE:FOR ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw significant share price...Analysis Article • May 23
Is Forestar Group (NYSE:FOR) Using Too Much Debt?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Seeking Alpha • Apr 29
Forestar Group Stock To Benefit From The Real Estate Shortage
Summary Forestar is poised to benefit from the low inventory of available homes. Forestar's financial strength can be leveraged to acquire new land and grow market share. The low valuation leaves room for multiple expansions after the recent dip in the stock price. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Apr 26
Results: Forestar Group Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
Forestar Group Inc. ( NYSE:FOR ) investors will be delighted, with the company turning in some strong numbers with its...Analysis Article • Feb 10
Does This Valuation Of Forestar Group Inc. (NYSE:FOR) Imply Investors Are Overpaying?
Key Insights The projected fair value for Forestar Group is US$24.24 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Forestar...Seeking Alpha • Feb 05
Forestar Group: Homebuilders Are Primed For A Strong 2024, Buy While Still Cheap
Summary Forestar Group, a real estate developer, is expected to benefit from the upcoming housing recovery in 2024. Housing shortages will continue due to a lack of inventory, leading to an increase in single-family home construction. Mortgage rates are forecast to decrease, leading to a pickup in demand for new homes. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Jan 23
Why Forestar Group Inc. (NYSE:FOR) Could Be Worth Watching
Forestar Group Inc. ( NYSE:FOR ), is not the largest company out there, but it led the NYSE gainers with a relatively...Analysis Article • Jan 03
Forestar Group Inc.'s (NYSE:FOR) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking
Forestar Group Inc.'s ( NYSE:FOR ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.7x might make it look like a buy right now...Shareholder Returns
| FOR | US Real Estate | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 3.1% | 6.9% | 0.5% |
| 1Y | 16.0% | -17.8% | 16.5% |
Return vs Industry: FOR exceeded the US Real Estate industry which returned -19% over the past year.
Return vs Market: FOR exceeded the US Market which returned 14.3% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| FOR volatility | |
|---|---|
| FOR Average Weekly Movement | 4.7% |
| Real Estate Industry Average Movement | 7.3% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.3% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: FOR has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: FOR's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | 402 | Andy Oxley | www.forestar.com |
Forestar Group Inc. operates as a residential lot development company in the United States. It acquires land and develops infrastructure for single-family residential communities. The company sells its residential single-family finished lots to local, regional, and national homebuilders.
Forestar Group Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| FOR fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$1.48b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$170.40m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$1.72b |
8.6x
P/E Ratio0.9x
P/S RatioIs FOR overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| FOR income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$1.72b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$1.36b |
| Gross Profit | US$368.90m |
| Other Expenses | US$198.50m |
| Earnings | US$170.40m |
Last Reported Earnings
Jun 30, 2026
Next Earnings Date
Oct 29, 2026
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 3.34 |
| Gross Margin | 21.39% |
| Net Profit Margin | 9.88% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 42.7% |
How did FOR perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/07/30 16:08 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/07/30 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/09/30 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Forestar Group Inc. is covered by 9 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| John Lovallo | BofA Global Research |
| Ryan Gilbert | BTIG |
| Anthony Pettinari | Citigroup Inc |