The Middleby Corporation

NasdaqGS:MIDD Stock Report

Market Cap: US$7.2b

Middleby Valuation

Is MIDD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MIDD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MIDD ($134.48) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($258.99)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MIDD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MIDD?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MIDD key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA11.1x
PEG Ratio1.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MIDD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MIDD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.9x
FLS Flowserve
27.1x23.0%US$6.9b
WTS Watts Water Technologies
24.8x6.4%US$6.8b
SPXC SPX Technologies
46.5x30.9%US$7.5b
DCI Donaldson Company
21.3x6.5%US$8.8b
MIDD Middleby
18.7x16.0%US$7.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MIDD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.7x) compared to the peer average (29.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MIDD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MIDD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.7x) compared to the US Machinery industry average (21.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MIDD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MIDD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.7x
Fair PE Ratio24.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MIDD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MIDD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$134.48
US$160.57
+19.4%
11.1%US$181.00US$120.00n/a7
Sep ’25US$140.62
US$160.57
+14.2%
11.1%US$181.00US$120.00n/a7
Aug ’25US$144.36
US$160.29
+11.0%
11.6%US$181.00US$118.00n/a7
Jul ’25US$119.40
US$161.43
+35.2%
11.9%US$181.00US$118.00n/a7
Jun ’25US$128.91
US$160.00
+24.1%
11.4%US$181.00US$118.00n/a8
May ’25US$137.51
US$168.00
+22.2%
6.2%US$184.00US$150.00n/a8
Apr ’25US$158.53
US$166.75
+5.2%
5.7%US$184.00US$150.00n/a8
Mar ’25US$154.15
US$165.63
+7.4%
4.7%US$175.00US$150.00n/a8
Feb ’25US$145.52
US$159.13
+9.3%
7.8%US$175.00US$137.00n/a8
Jan ’25US$147.17
US$153.75
+4.5%
7.9%US$175.00US$137.00n/a8
Dec ’24US$130.42
US$153.75
+17.9%
7.9%US$175.00US$137.00n/a8
Nov ’24US$111.05
US$164.11
+47.8%
7.4%US$180.00US$137.00n/a9
Oct ’24US$128.00
US$171.89
+34.3%
4.4%US$180.00US$158.00US$138.239
Sep ’24US$146.52
US$172.56
+17.8%
3.9%US$180.00US$158.00US$140.629
Aug ’24US$148.79
US$174.56
+17.3%
4.2%US$181.00US$158.00US$144.369
Jul ’24US$147.83
US$174.44
+18.0%
4.3%US$181.00US$158.00US$119.409
Jun ’24US$133.18
US$174.50
+31.0%
4.1%US$181.00US$158.00US$128.9110
May ’24US$142.94
US$173.20
+21.2%
4.0%US$180.00US$155.00US$137.5110
Apr ’24US$146.61
US$173.20
+18.1%
4.0%US$180.00US$155.00US$158.5310
Mar ’24US$154.95
US$173.20
+11.8%
4.0%US$180.00US$155.00US$154.1510
Feb ’24US$157.87
US$168.30
+6.6%
6.1%US$177.00US$140.00US$145.5210
Jan ’24US$133.90
US$163.70
+22.3%
9.1%US$175.00US$130.00US$147.1710
Dec ’23US$145.25
US$166.10
+14.4%
9.6%US$180.00US$130.00US$130.4210
Nov ’23US$141.39
US$172.78
+22.2%
7.7%US$190.00US$145.00US$111.059
Oct ’23US$128.17
US$175.22
+36.7%
5.4%US$190.00US$155.00US$128.009

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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