Joby Aviation, Inc.

NYSE:JOBY Stock Report

Market Cap: US$7.9b

Joby Aviation Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Joby Aviation is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 18.5% and 51.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 22.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be -50.4% in 3 years.

Key information

18.5%

Earnings growth rate

22.49%

EPS growth rate

Airlines earnings growth18.7%
Revenue growth rate51.9%
Future return on equity-50.40%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated30 Jun 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 26

JOBY: FAA Certification Progress Will Drive Future Commercial Air Taxi Upside

Joby Aviation's analyst price target has been trimmed by roughly $1.02 to $11.12 per share, as analysts factor in updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples following recent research updates from major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Joby Aviation highlights a mix of optimism about the company’s long term opportunity and caution around execution, which together have driven lower price targets in the latest rounds of updates.
Seeking Alpha Jun 20

Unlocking The Skies: Why We're Upgrading Joby

Summary Joby Aviation is upgraded to Speculative Buy, reflecting reduced cash burn, strengthened balance sheet, and tangible commercialization milestones. JOBY's cash position rose to $2.47B with quarterly burn declining, extending its operational runway even before core revenue generation. Consecutive revenue beats, primarily from Blade acquisition, de-risk JOBY as it advances toward U.S. eVTOL commercialization and international expansion. Despite 44x FY27E P/S valuation, JOBY's progress and optionality warrant a high-conviction, small position while monitoring certification and cash burn risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article Jun 18

Joby Aviation (JOBY) Stock Could Be 23% Undervalued After FAA Progress And Production Plans

Joby Aviation (JOBY) is back in focus after reaching stage four of the FAA’s type certification process, supported by new survey data showing strong consumer interest in eVTOL flights and expanding production plans in Dayton. See our latest analysis for Joby Aviation. Recent milestones appear to have renewed interest in Joby Aviation, with the stock showing a 6.22% total shareholder return over the past year, even as the year to date share price return is down 34.61% from earlier levels. If...
Seeking Alpha Mar 09

Taking Flight With Joby Aviation, The Speculative Buy That Could Pay Off

Summary Joby Aviation's income statement currently has minimal impact on its stock price due to the company being pre-revenue. The stock price moves more on news about its progress toward commercialization. Joby is leading in obtaining FAA certification for its eVTOL air taxi. Planned commercial operations are set to begin in Dubai in late 2025 and in the U.S. in late 2026. The stock remains a speculative buy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 19

Joby Aviation: Priced For Perfect Execution

Summary Joby Aviation has made significant progress toward FAA certification and international market expansion, but still faces valuation concerns and operational risks. Despite advancements, Joby's current $6BN valuation appears to price in successful certification and rapid profitability, leading to a hold rating. Joby’s liquidity is strong at $1.4BN, but the company needs near-perfect execution to meet optimistic long-term growth and profitability targets. With a fair value estimate of $5.96 per share, Joby’s stock is overvalued by 24%, making it too risky to warrant a buy rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Feb 07

Joby Aviation: Commercialization Is In Sight

Summary Joby Aviation made strong progress across certification, manufacturing, and financing in the third quarter. JOBY now has sufficient liquidity to achieve commercialization and potentially cash flow breakeven, reducing the risk of dilution. While uncertainty regarding the scalability of the business model still exists, I continue to believe Joby is the best positioned eVTOL company. Joby's leadership isn't really reflected in its enterprise value relative to peers, although this could just be due to Archer's overvaluation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jan 08

Joby Aviation: Rating Downgrade As Valuation Has Priced In Near-Term Upside

Summary I am downgrading JOBY from buy to hold as the current share price reflects its worth by FY28, limiting near-term upside. JOBY has made significant progress, including FAA certification credits and successful autonomous flight demonstrations, indicating its commercial readiness. To turn bullish again, I need to see JOBY achieve commercial readiness by FY26 and demonstrate a clear path to its initial adjusted EBITDA targets. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Dec 02

Joby Aviation: How The Toyota Partnership Brings More Than Just Funding

Summary I believe the 80% jump in Joby's share price is a direct symptom of the current excitement in the eVTOL space. I anticipate a healthy pullback as investors take profits. Commercial operations in Dubai could begin by the end of 2025, which I believe is the next big catalyst to reignite shareholder excitement. The $500M investment from Toyota is key both from a funding and manufacturing perspective, as I believe Toyota's TPS could give Joby an edge over rivals like Archer Aviation. Despite near-term pullback risks, I believe Joby is well-positioned to lead the eVTOL market in the long run, at least, from a manufacturing perspective. I rate this stock as a buy for a long-term position, although I haven't bought shares yet as I want to optimize my entry point, awaiting for implied volatility in the options market to cool off, along with the share price. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Nov 24

Joby Aviation: Shares Still Aren't Ready For Take-Off

Summary Joby Aviation's business model is innovative, but its negligible revenue and significant cash outflows justify a 'hold' rating. Despite positive developments and robust cash reserves, shareholder dilution and ongoing net losses limit immediate upside potential. The company has promising opportunities, including FAA approval progress and international air taxi services in Dubai and Japan. With substantial cash from Toyota and no debt, Joby Aviation remains a speculative 'hold' rather than a 'sell'. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Oct 04

Joby: Raise Provides A Clear Path To Commercialization

Summary Joby continues to progress towards commercialization, but the share price already embeds an expectation of success in certification and manufacturing scale up. Despite solid progress, there remain uncertainties around latent demand and supply bottlenecks in areas like infrastructure, pilots, and traffic congestion. JOBY may need additional funding before breakeven, but Toyota's investment positions it to succeed or fail based on its merits rather than its ability to access capital. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Sep 17

Joby Aviation: Significant Upside On Potential FAA Certification In 2025

Summary Joby Aviation is progressing towards potential commercialization of eVTOL in 2025 and the addressable market for ride-sharing is significant. Strong industry partnerships will support scaling-up of operations and the company is pursuing aggressive international expansion. A strong cash buffer of $825 million will support investments potentially through commercialization. Multiple growth opportunities including expansion of agreements with the U.S. Department of Defense, logistics, and emergency services. Ride-sharing economics remains uncertain and it's too early to determine EBITDA break-even. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Aug 08

Joby Aviation: It's Going To Be A Long While Before This Plane Flies

Summary Joby Aviation exceeded analysts' expectations on the bottom line in the second quarter of 2024 fiscal year. The company saw improvements in revenue and earnings, but profitability metrics worsened, and its cash balance continues to shrink. Joby Aviation is making progress towards its objectives, but faces challenges in scaling and generating significant cash flow for even a fair valuation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Jul 14

Joby Aviation: Pre-Flight Checks And Technical Road Map

Summary Joby Aviation is leading the global electric air taxi market with more planes, miles flown, pilots trained, and aircraft capability than competitors. Joby is progressing well in key certification areas such as pilot training, aircraft maintenance, airline operations, and safety, giving them a significant first-mover advantage. Joby's vertical integration and strategic partnerships position them for success in the emerging eVTOL industry, with potential for significant growth and market leadership. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:JOBY - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2028458-746-678-3329
12/31/2027222-814-726-5369
12/31/2026112-770-768-6288
3/31/202678-957-660-543N/A
12/31/202553-930-564-510N/A
9/30/202523-1,055-533-477N/A
6/30/20250-797-501-448N/A
3/31/20250-596-489-441N/A
12/31/20240-608-477-436N/A
9/30/20241-477-432-399N/A
6/30/20241-331-401-369N/A
3/31/20241-494-371-342N/A
12/31/20231-513-344-314N/A
9/30/2023N/A-465-337-284N/A
6/30/2023N/A-546-322-272N/A
3/31/2023N/A-309-306-253N/A
12/31/2022N/A-258-291-236N/A
9/30/2022N/A-186-268-232N/A
6/30/2022N/A-186-270-233N/A
3/31/2022N/A-201-266-228N/A
12/31/2021N/A-180-228-196N/A
9/30/2021N/A-219-203-177N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: JOBY is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Earnings vs Market: JOBY is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

High Growth Earnings: JOBY is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: JOBY's revenue (51.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (13% per year).

High Growth Revenue: JOBY's revenue (51.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: JOBY is forecast to be unprofitable in 3 years.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/10 04:16
End of Day Share Price 2026/07/10 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Joby Aviation, Inc. is covered by 13 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David ZazulaBarclays
Austin MoellerCanaccord Genuity
Andres Sheppard-SlingerCantor Fitzgerald & Co.